Download DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO: Rebels Likely to Expand Control in East Summary: March 23 Movement (M23) rebels will likely continue to expand their territorial control over the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), which very likely lacks the leverage to oppose M23 or its backers in Kigali diplomatically or militarily. Development: On … Continue reading Eagle Eye 466
Eagle Eye 465
Download NORTH KOREA: Unlikely to Pursue Threatened Armed Conflict with the United States Summary: Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un’s recent comments on pursuing armed conflict with the U.S. will most likely remain as empty threats to maintain the possibility of reunifying with South Korea. Development: On 11 February, Pyongyang stated its military … Continue reading Eagle Eye 465
Eagle Eye 464
Download CHINA: Newly Emerged Submarine Likely to Deter Western Threat in South China Sea Summary: A new submarine of unreported design emerged in China’s southern waters, and Beijing probably intended it to deter the West from reaching near Taiwan and the South China Sea. Beijing had recently disclosed a new design, but it did not … Continue reading Eagle Eye 464
Eagle Eye 463
Download SYRIA: Threat of Conflict Likely to Integrate Forces into the Transitional Government Summary: Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) refused the Transitional Government’s request to dissolve its military bloc. The SDF currently holds roughly 10,000 ISIS fighters under its prison authority. The transition of prison authority from the SDF to the Transitional Government may pose vulnerabilities … Continue reading Eagle Eye 463
Eagle Eye 462
DOWnload CHINA: Brokered Myanmar Ceasefire Likely to Last Longer than Broken 2024 Ceasefire Summary: The ceasefire agreement between the Junta military regime and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) will likely last longer than the January 2024 ceasefire agreement due to the Junta reestablishing control of Lashio. Development: On 20 January, Beijing facilitated a … Continue reading Eagle Eye 462
Eagle Eye 461
Download CHINA: Hacking Discoveries Likely to Encourage Malicious Cyber Activity from Beijing Summary: Beijing’s typhoon cyber-attacks presented a security threat to its competitors. The attacks possessed the capability to attack infrastructure, commit espionage, and monitor activity of United States presidential candidates and others. Beijing almost certainly will develop more powerful cyberweapons to replace the typhoon … Continue reading Eagle Eye 461
Eagle Eye 460
download CHINA: Border Conflict with India Likely to End After Pact Agreement Summary: After weeks of talks between Beijing and New Delhi, they have come to an agreement and formed a pact over the much disputed “Line of Actual Control (LAC).” Beijing and New Delhi will likely stop conflict over the border and strengthen their … Continue reading Eagle Eye 460
Eagle Eye 459
DOWNLOAD JAKARTA: Reliance on Chinese Investment May Increase Under New Leadership Summary: Jakarta’s new administration may rely on Chinese investment more to pursue its goal of 8% economic growth. Beijing’s monopolization of nickel in Indonesia may prove problematic for Washington in the future. Development: On 20 October, Prabowo Subianto swore in as the eighth president … Continue reading Eagle Eye 459
Eagle Eye 458
Download CHINA: Expansion of Blue Water Fleet Presence Almost Certain After Bering Sea Patrol Summary: TheChinese Coast Guard has entered the Bering Sea for the first time while patrolling with Russian Border Guard vessels. Beijing is almost certainly attempting to expand its reach beyond Chinese waters by expanding the presence of its blue-water fleet. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 458
Eagle Eye 457
Download MEXICO: Internal Conflicts in Sinaloa Cartel Will Likely Escalate Violence Summary: Authorities linked the 10 recent deaths to the Sinaloa cartel. These incidents involved a shootout with police and mutilated bodies left with messages from the Sinaloa cartel. Internal conflicts within the group may cause more violent events. Development: On 21 September, authorities found … Continue reading Eagle Eye 457