Download IRAN: Jerusalem Strike on Tehran Leaders Will Likely Escalate Ongoing Proxy War Summary: Jerusalem’s most recent strike on Iranian leaders will likely lead to a heightened conflict with Tehran. Tehran has vowed to retaliate, which will likely lead to an increase in the frequency of alternating attacks. Tehran’s retaliation will likely involve the use … Continue reading Eagle Eye 453
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Eagle Eye 452
Download ROMANIA-BULGARIA: Full Schengen Entry Delay Likely to Hinder Economic Growth Summary: Bucharest and Sofia will likely face setbacks in the potential for economic growth after acquiring only partial accession into the Schengen Area, with a delay of full membership coming from illegal immigration concerns from Austria. Prolonged negotiations with Vienna will likely continue stalling … Continue reading Eagle Eye 452
Eagle Eye 451
Download YEMEN: Houthi Rebels Will Likely Shut Down All Trade Conducting in the Red Sea Summary: On 6 March, Houthi militants ramped up attacks, causing fatalities for the first time. This escalation underscores the growing threat posed by the Houthi rebels to maritime security in the area. Given the increased frequency and intensity of these … Continue reading Eagle Eye 451
Eagle Eye 450
Download CHINA: Poor Working Conditions Will Not Likely Impact Cyber Operations Summary: A recent data leak revealed frustrations over working conditions within a Chinese state-sponsored private hacking company I-Soon. Hackers across the state will likely share these conditions and views. Despite Beijing’s increased cyberspace emphasis, the working conditions of its cybersecurity specialists remain lacking. The … Continue reading Eagle Eye 450
Eagle Eye 449
Download ARMENIA: Ceasing Participation in Treaty Organization Likely Part of Broader Shift Summary: Yerevan’s announcement that Armenia froze its participation in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) will likely prompt further distancing from Russia, a full withdrawal from the CSTO, and deeper ties with France. Development: On 23 February, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan announced … Continue reading Eagle Eye 449
Eagle Eye 448
Download NIGER: Regional Energy Dominance Likely with Cooperation with Sahel Nations Summary: Niamey’s energy meeting with the other nations from Sahel stated will likely make Niamey a dominant regional energy supplier. Development: On 17 February, energy ministers from Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali, Chad, and Togo discussed diesel supply plans for Niamey. ECOWAS-imposed sanctions disrupted electricity … Continue reading Eagle Eye 448
Eagle Eye 447
Download IRAN: Simulated Attack on Israel May Lead to Tehran’s Open Support of Hamas Summary: The simulated Iranian attack on an airbase in Israel showcases advances in military power which may indicate Tehran’s intention to openly support Hamas and involve its own military in the Israel-Hamas War. Development: On 12 February, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard … Continue reading Eagle Eye 447
Eagle Eye 446
Download GEORGIA: New Prime Minister Unlikely to Significantly Alter Foreign Relations Summary: Despite statements by new Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, Tbilisi will probably not take definitive steps towards European Union (EU) membership or significantly alter its relations with Russia. Development: On 8 February, Tbilisi officially appointed Irakli Kobakhidze, former chairman of the ruling Georgian Dream … Continue reading Eagle Eye 446
Eagle Eye 445
Download RUSSIA: Eurasian Economic Union Meeting Likely to Improve Energy Exports Summary: The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) meeting will likely lead to increased economic cooperation within the EEU, decreasing the effectiveness of sanctions on Russia. Armenia will likely have less participation in this growth due to tensions between Moscow and Yerevan. Development: On 2 February, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 445
Eagle Eye 444
Download MALI: Broken Peace Deal Will Likely Augment Internal Security Strategy Summary: The dissolution of a peace deal will likely enhance Bamako’s capabilities and influence against internal rebel groups. Development: On 25 January, Bamako spokesperson Colonel Abdoulaye Maiga announced the termination of the 2015 peace deal with Tuareg rebel groups. Bamako based this decision on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 444