DOWNLOAD CHINA: Coast Guard Operations Likely An Effort to Expand Territorial Control Summary: China will likely continue using the China Coast Guard (CCG) to assert control over disputed territory following multiple involvements with Manila and operations near Taiwan. Development: On 8 October, a CCG vessel 5306 fired a water cannon while shadowing the Philippine Coast … Continue reading Eagle Eye 505
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Eagle Eye 504
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Leveraging Taliban Relations Likely to Secure Access to Asian Oil Markets Summary: Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov likely initiated formal cooperation with the Taliban to leverage relations and secure access to Asian oil markets. Strengthening trade agreements between Moscow and Kabul will almost certainly expand Russian access to Asia. Development: On5October, Moscow convened … Continue reading Eagle Eye 504
Eagle Eye 503
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Expanding Infrastructure Strikes Likely to Disrupt Ukraine’s Economy Summary: The strikes on Kyiv’s northern and southern bridges likely indicate that Moscow is broadening its targeting of Ukrainian critical infrastructure, following attacks on digital and energy infrastructure that disrupted services supporting economic activity. Development: On 1-2 October, Moscow launched multiple drone strikes against the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 503
Eagle Eye 502
download CHINA: Naval Operations Likely to Fracture Provisional Agreement Amid Rising Tension Summary: People’s Liberation Army (PLA), People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), and China Coast Guard (CCG) assets increased operations within Second Thomas Shoal, which will likely increase tensions with Manila and Taipei. Development: On 24 September, PLAN warships and CCG cutters blocked a Philippine … Continue reading Eagle Eye 502
Eagle Eye 501
Download RUSSIA: Arctic Oil Development Likely Signals Greater Cooperation with Beijing Summary: Moscow’s Vostok Oil exports and Northern Sea Route expansion will probably secure direct commercial access to Asia-Pacific markets. In turn, Beijing’s arctic infrastructure investments and resource demand will almost certainly deepen bilateral economic alignment. Development: On 21 September, the Vostok Oil project commissioned … Continue reading Eagle Eye 501
Eagle Eye 500
Download AFRICA: Stronger Military Response Unlikely to Dampen Islamist Insurgencies Summary: Islamist insurgencies across Sub-Saharan Africa will likely continue to intensify and expand geographically over the next six months despite African governments' turn toward harder military responses and new security partnerships, because the governance failures and security-force abuses that drive recruitment remain largely unaddressed. Bamako's … Continue reading Eagle Eye 500
Eagle Eye 499
Download NORTH KOREA: Employment Fraud Scheme Likely to Expand Beyond IT Sector Summary: North Korean fraud networks will likely keep placing operatives in healthcare, sales, and financial roles beyond IT over the next 90 days, evading IT-focused enforcement. Development: On 31 August, The Hacker News reported that threat actors linked to North Korea have expanded … Continue reading Eagle Eye 499
Eagle Eye 498
Download SUDAN: More Refugees Will Likely Shift from Regional Havens to European Routes Summary: As Darfur remains a civil war hotspot between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF), Sudanese refugees will likely continue to concentrate in neighboring states, particularly Chad, Egypt, and South Sudan, in the near term. However, deteriorating humanitarian … Continue reading Eagle Eye 498
Eagle Eye 497
Download UGANDA: Kampala Pipeline Project Likely Faces Growing Regional Delays Summary: The East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) project will likely face significant timeline extensions due to mounting international financial pressure and environmental opposition. While project officials reported 82 percent completion as of April 2026, the withdrawal of over 40 global lenders and persistent litigation … Continue reading Eagle Eye 497
Eagle Eye 496
Download IRAN: Likely Retains Ability to Project Power Over Strait of Hormuz Summary: Tehran likely retains the ability to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, despite significant degradation of its ballistic missile capabilities, and could renew its disruptions in the event of renewed fighting. Development: On 30 March, Iranian forces conducted a strike on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 496