Download CHINA: Non-Military Actions Likely Intended to Increase Positive Perception of Country Summary: Recent anti-China rhetoric in the Pacific, Beijing’s non-military responses, and its diplomatic missions worldwide likely suggest that Beijing is seeking to project an image of a peaceful country globally through diplomatic efforts. This likely represents Beijing’s attempt to counter its national image … Continue reading Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
Eagle Eye 484
Download RUSSIA: Moscow Likely to Sustain Operations Through Use of Unconventional Tactics Summary: On 11 November 2025, Russian forces launched intensified assaults around Pokrovsk (Donetsk Oblast) and Kupiansk (Kharkiv Oblast), claiming significant territorial gains. Open-source imagery and video footage suggest the employment of unconventional and improvised tactics, including the use of motorbikes and heavily modified … Continue reading Eagle Eye 484
Eagle Eye 483
Download MALI: Fuel Blockade Almost Certain to Intensify, Allowing Jihadists to Increase Control Summary: Al-Qaeda-aligned terrorist group Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) will almost certainly intensify its ongoing blockage of Bamako and other Malian cities. This will likely lead to the ruling junta’s destabilization and expanded JNIM territorial and governmental control. Development: On 10 November, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 483
Eagle Eye 482
Download MOROCCO: Western Sahara Resolution Likely to Result in Reforms, Economic Growth Summary: The United Nations (UN) Security Council recognized Morocco’s sovereignty over Western Sahara, opening the region to new trade, investment, and infrastructure development alongside Rabat’s $15 billion pledge for social infrastructure investments. Rabat will likely leverage the increase in revenue from the Western … Continue reading Eagle Eye 482
Eagle Eye 481
Download MALAYSIA: Summit Likely to Aid in Deescalating South China Sea Maritime Incidents Summary: The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders meeting in Kuala Lumpur on 26-28 October will likely not eliminate periodic maritime incidents in the South China Sea but will likely aid in de-escalating these incidents. Development: On 27 October, Malaysian Prime … Continue reading Eagle Eye 481
Eagle Eye 480
Download PERU: Political Instability Likely to Deepen Despite State of Emergency Summary: Despite Lima’s recent announcement of a 30=day state of emergency, crime rates will likely remain high. This will likely cause political instability in the country to deepen. Development: On 22 October, Peruvian President Jose Jeri declared a 30-day state of emergency in Lima … Continue reading Eagle Eye 480
Eagle Eye 479
Download RUSSIA: Statement on Azerbaijan Jet Crash Likely Caused by Need for Strong Relations Summary: President Vladimir Putin’s admission of involvement in the Azerbaijani jet crash last year likely reveals Moscow’s growing need for stronger relations with the few countries in its grasp. This acknowledgement will probably result in renewed relations between the two former Soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 479
Eagle Eye 478
DOWNLOAD MOLDOVA: Russian Pressure Very Likely to Intensify Following Election Results Summary: Moldova’s pro-European Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) gained Parliament seats in the 28 September elections, likely strengthening President Maia Sandu’s European Union (EU) integration plan. This victory will very likely increase Russian pressure on the country. Development: On 28 September, Moldovan voters gave … Continue reading Eagle Eye 478
Eagle Eye 477
Download DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO: Cobalt Export Quotas Unlikely to Succeed Summary: While Kinshasa’s opening of cobalt exports will likely result in a slight short-term increase in the economy, the cobalt quota system will almost certainly have a negligible overall impact. Background: On 21 September, Kinshasa stated that it would raise the current cobalt export … Continue reading Eagle Eye 477
Eagle Eye 476
Download POLAND: Moscow Will Likely Continue Drone Incursions into Airspace Summary: Moscow will likely continue to violate Polish airspace with drones as a to test security agreements between the North Atlantic Trade Organization (NATO) members. Despite the drone operations, Moscow will almost certainly avoid another significant military operation. Background: On 9 September, Polish officials reported … Continue reading Eagle Eye 476