DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: New Economic Sanctions Likely to Result in Economic Depression Summary: Businesses and investors fear economic sanctions in response to Moscow’s annexation agreements which could result in a long-lasting economic depression, as major industry partners and jobs leave Russian markets. Development: On 30 September, Moscow signed annexation agreements for Ukrainian territories: Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 412
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DOWNLOAD IRAN: Protestor Deaths Will Likely Encourage Violent Anti-Government Action Summary: Following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, protests continue against Iranian police, resulting in the deaths of Iranian citizens. This may lead to more resistance and anger towards the Iranian government, likely leading to more violent demonstrations. Development: On 20 September, Iranian officials confirmed … Continue reading Eagle Eye 411
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Download ETHIOPIA: Addis Ababa Likely to Delay Negotiations Amid International Calls for Peace Summary: Tigray’s forces battling Addis Ababa and its allies claim willingness to enter negotiations towards peace as fighting renewed in recent weeks. Addis Ababa will likely delay negotiations despite mounting international pressure from the West and African Union (AU). Development: On 12 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 410
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Military Drills with Beijing Likely to Strengthen Ties and Intimidation Summary: Moscow almost certainly intends its week-long military exercises to bolster relations with Beijing and display military capabilities. Development: On 2 September, reports stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin will attend the week-long military exercises in Vostok. The drills involve 50,000 weapons units, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 409
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DOWNLOAD PHILIPPINES: Pending Election Results Will Likely Increase Domestic Conflict Summary: Election polls demonstrate that the Philippines will likely elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr. to presidential office in the upcoming election. Marcos Jr., son of previous Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr., has close ties to the current President Rodrigo Duterte. If elected, the Marcos family history … Continue reading Eagle Eye 408
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Beijing Unlikely to Contribute Military Aid to Moscow Summary: Beijing will likely continue to offer Moscow an economic lifeline to avoid sanctions due to the “No Limits” friendship between the two nations. However, Beijing likely will not contribute direct military assistance to Moscow in the form of weapon sales or troop deployment due … Continue reading Eagle Eye 407
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Download LEBANON: Election on Track Likely to Hold Strong with New Funding Summary: The Lebanese general elections will take place on 15 May. The International Monetary Funds (IMF) agreed on funding Lebanon $3 billion over many years, which will likely stabilize Beirut’s economic position. This stability will likely lead to a power shift in Lebanon, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 406
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DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Key Missile Developments Likely Signal Future Nuclear Weapons Tests Summary: Pyongyang seems likely to test nuclear weapons in the near future in conjunction with its rapidly advancing missile program. Pyongyang possesses advanced missile capabilities, now with a vital component for successfully launching an intercontinental ballistic missile most likely developed for reaching its … Continue reading Eagle Eye 405
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Solomon Islands Security Pact Likely to Establish a Military Base Summary: Beijing and Honiara seek to establish a security pact with one another. This will most likely shift the balance of power and influence in the Indo-Pacific Region. Development: On 25 March, Honiara released an official statement confirming the rumors of a security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 404
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DOWNLOAD SOUTH KOREA: Conservative Party Likely Rebounding from Past Political Fracture Summary: The conservative People Power Party (PPP) won the presidential election and seem likely to gain more popularity due to its political strategies. The Democratic Party of Korea (DP) most likely will lose some of its power due to the Moon Jae-in administration’s decreasing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 403