DOWNLOAD CHINA: Election Results Could Escalate Tensions in the South China Sea Summary: China’s President Xi Jinping’s third term could lead to economic coercions with territories in the South China Sea (SCS). Development: On 23 October, Xi secured a third term in office. Xi announced six loyalists to join the Politburo Standing Committee who will … Continue reading Eagle Eye 415
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Trade Disputes May Force Canberra into Negotiations Summary: Canberra’s reliance on Beijing’s economic relationship might influence Canberra to negotiate in Beijing’s favor. Development: On 14 October, China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Chan, requested Canberra for quiet diplomacy to mend Canberra’s conflicts with Beijing, according to SBSNews. Beijing’s current trade sanctions on Australian exports, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 414
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Download CHINA: Cyberattacks in Taiwan Likely to Encourage Conflict Summary: Beijing’s cyber assaults against Taipei will likely disrupt Taiwanese morale since Taipei remains in a constant vulnerable position with Beijing. Development: On 9 October, Taiwanese parliament member Wang Ting-Yu announced an increase in cyberattacks from Beijing. Inaccurate information regarding the attacks continues to circulate on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 413
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: New Economic Sanctions Likely to Result in Economic Depression Summary: Businesses and investors fear economic sanctions in response to Moscow’s annexation agreements which could result in a long-lasting economic depression, as major industry partners and jobs leave Russian markets. Development: On 30 September, Moscow signed annexation agreements for Ukrainian territories: Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk, and Luhansk. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 412
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DOWNLOAD IRAN: Protestor Deaths Will Likely Encourage Violent Anti-Government Action Summary: Following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, protests continue against Iranian police, resulting in the deaths of Iranian citizens. This may lead to more resistance and anger towards the Iranian government, likely leading to more violent demonstrations. Development: On 20 September, Iranian officials confirmed … Continue reading Eagle Eye 411
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Download ETHIOPIA: Addis Ababa Likely to Delay Negotiations Amid International Calls for Peace Summary: Tigray’s forces battling Addis Ababa and its allies claim willingness to enter negotiations towards peace as fighting renewed in recent weeks. Addis Ababa will likely delay negotiations despite mounting international pressure from the West and African Union (AU). Development: On 12 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 410
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Military Drills with Beijing Likely to Strengthen Ties and Intimidation Summary: Moscow almost certainly intends its week-long military exercises to bolster relations with Beijing and display military capabilities. Development: On 2 September, reports stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin will attend the week-long military exercises in Vostok. The drills involve 50,000 weapons units, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 409
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DOWNLOAD PHILIPPINES: Pending Election Results Will Likely Increase Domestic Conflict Summary: Election polls demonstrate that the Philippines will likely elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr. to presidential office in the upcoming election. Marcos Jr., son of previous Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr., has close ties to the current President Rodrigo Duterte. If elected, the Marcos family history … Continue reading Eagle Eye 408
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Beijing Unlikely to Contribute Military Aid to Moscow Summary: Beijing will likely continue to offer Moscow an economic lifeline to avoid sanctions due to the “No Limits” friendship between the two nations. However, Beijing likely will not contribute direct military assistance to Moscow in the form of weapon sales or troop deployment due … Continue reading Eagle Eye 407
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Download LEBANON: Election on Track Likely to Hold Strong with New Funding Summary: The Lebanese general elections will take place on 15 May. The International Monetary Funds (IMF) agreed on funding Lebanon $3 billion over many years, which will likely stabilize Beirut’s economic position. This stability will likely lead to a power shift in Lebanon, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 406