DOWNLOAD INDIA: Tensions on Three Fronts May Increase Effort to Improve Relations with Beijing Summary: Border tensions with Beijing on the Line of Actual Control (LAC), violence in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K), and tensions in the northeastern region may prompt New Delhi to increase its efforts in improving border relations with Beijing. Background: On 15 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 395
Eagle Eye 394
DOWNLOAD TAIWAN: Upgraded Fighter Jets Will Probably Not Deter Airspace Incursions Summary: Taipei’s newly renovated F-16V (Viper) fighter jets probably result in minimal advancements to Taipei’s air defense capabilities and will likely not repel Beijing’s incursions into the Taiwanese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). Development: On 18 November, Taipei unveiled its newly renovated F-16 Viper … Continue reading Eagle Eye 394
Eagle Eye 393
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Moscow Likely Attempting to Provoke Ukrainian First-Strike Summary: Moscow’s mobilization of troops near the Ukrainian border probably reflects an effort to provoke a Ukrainian military response despite its public denial of intent. Development: On 12 November, Moscow publicly denied any intent to invade Ukraine at this time and said that the movement of … Continue reading Eagle Eye 393
Eagle Eye 392
DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Gulf State Retaliation Likely an Attempt to Uproot Iranian Influence Summary: Prime Minister Najib Mikati placed pressure on Information Minister George Kordahi after Kordahi’s comments on the Saudi-led war in Yemen prompted severe backlash from several Gulf states. The retaliation from several Gulf states, especiallyRiyadh, likely represents a move to force Beirut to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 392
Eagle Eye 391
DOWNLOAD CHINA: Domestic Crackdown May Intend to Increase Control as Foreign Involvement Expands Summary: Beijing’s recent slew of crackdowns on private enterprises may intend to increase control of the citizens living in mainland China as many others are leaving to live and work abroad. Details of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and President Xi … Continue reading Eagle Eye 391
Eagle Eye 390
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Interference in Former Soviet Bloc Possibly to Gain Power and Protect Borders Summary: Following the fall of the Soviet Union, Moscow maintains influence in many regional affairs. It used its power to gain loyalty in parts of Ukraine and build strong ties with Nur-Sultan, which currently faces a critical decision regarding future relations … Continue reading Eagle Eye 390
Eagle Eye 389
DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389
Eagle Eye 388
DOWNLOAD INDIA: Failed Peace Talks with Beijing Will Probably Only Lead to Border Skirmishes Summary: New Delhi and Beijing’s failed attempt to reach an agreement on disengagement goals regarding the Line of Actual Control (LAC) at the recent peace talks will likely not escalate conflict levels. Development: On 10 October, New Delhi and Beijing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 388
Eagle Eye 387
DOWNLOAD INDIA: Troop Repositioning May Strengthen Position in Peace Talks with Beijing Summary: New Delhi’s repositioning of troops on the Ladakh border will most likely place the country in a better negotiating position during this month’s peace talks with Beijing. Development: On 5 October, New Delhi shifted 50,000 troops from the Pakistani border to the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 387
Eagle Eye 386
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Support for Belarus Likely to Result in Alliance with Minsk Summary: Moscow likely lifted restrictions on flights between Belarus and Russia following the economic integration agreement to court favor from Minsk and gain military support. Development: On 21 September, Moscow lifted all restrictions on flights to and from Belarus to honor an agreement … Continue reading Eagle Eye 386