Eagle Eye 382

DOWNLOAD GREECE: Quarantine Lift May Exacerbate Third-wave COVID-19 Crisis Summary: Greece’s relaxed travel restrictions allow more tourist activity in the region but may prove premature amid a third wave of COVID-19 and result in an overwhelmed healthcare system and frustrated population.  Development: On 19 April, Athens lifted quarantine restrictions in a bid to fully reintroduce … Continue reading Eagle Eye 382

Eagle Eye 381

DOWNLOAD CHINA: Vaccine Efficacy Results May Disrupt Distribution Plans Summary: Beijing admitted to low efficacy rates for its current COVID-19 vaccines, which will likely set back its distribution plans. Nations that accepted vaccine shipments from China may also need to change course. Development: On 10 April, Director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 381

Eagle Eye 380

DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Suez Canal Blockage Likely to Lead to New Arctic Trade Route Benefits Summary: The recent Suez Canal blockage enabled Russia to promote its Northern Sea Route (NSR), which may lead to new diplomatic opportunities and shipping efficiency. Development: On 29 March, Russia's Energy Ministry released a statement describing the reliability, security, and competitiveness of … Continue reading Eagle Eye 380

Eagle Eye 379

DOWNLOAD  SAUDI ARABIA: Riyadh Purge Likely to Solidify Future Latitude for Crown Prince Summary: The latest in a series of anti-corruption purges by Riyadh likely represents an effort by Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman (MBS) to ensure his ability to rule in whatever manner that he sees fit. This includes eliminating those that could challenge … Continue reading Eagle Eye 379

Eagle Eye 378

DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Cairo Likely Seeks Alliances to Help Deter Regional Threats Summary: Since mid-February, Cairo took actions to promote political and economic development in multiple African and Asian nations to regain regional influence, support current allies, and develop new ones. Cairo reaffirmed its alliances with Khartoum and Amman. Currently, it continues investing heavily in Kinshasa … Continue reading Eagle Eye 378

Eagle Eye 377

DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Persistence of Increased Cyberattacks Likely to Fund Nuclear Program Summary: The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) sponsored and conducted a series of unprecedented cyberattacks through the efforts of various Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) groups. The DPRK-sponsored cyberattacks will almost certainly continue and will likely escalate, reinforced by the successes demonstrated in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 377

Eagle Eye 376

DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Cairo Likely to Use All Options to Counter Ethiopian Nile Dam   Summary: Since the start of the year, talks between Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) have broken down, while the occurrence of alleged Egyptian-backed proxy conflict has increased at the Sudanese-Ethiopian border.  Recently, Cairo has taken … Continue reading Eagle Eye 376

Eagle Eye 375

DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Pledge of Support to Libya Likely Indicates Future Cooperation     Summary: A meeting between the Egyptian President and the Interim Libyan Prime Minister will likely lead to Egypt taking more responsibility in rebuilding Libya’s national government.  Development: On 18 February, more than six years after closing its embassy in Tripoli, Egyptian President Abdel … Continue reading Eagle Eye 375

EE 374

DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Bombings Likely Targeting Police and Military Forces Summary: The increasing trend of unclaimed bombings in Kabul indicates the bombings will almost certainly happen again and will likely target police and military forces. Development: On 21 February, unknown persons detonated two bombs in Kabul, killing three and wounding 20. A similar incident occurred … Continue reading EE 374

EE 373

DOWNLOAD Ethiopia: Closure of Eritrean Refugee Camps Likely to Escalate Humanitarian Crisis Summary: The closure of two Eritrean refugee camps in the Tigray region due to gender-based violence will likely lead to more unrest and violence in the region, further fueling the ongoing humanitarian crisis.     Development: On 11 February, Minister for Women, Children and Youth … Continue reading EE 373