EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357
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Eagle Eye 356
EE-356Download AFRICA: COVID-19 Will Almost Certainly Impair Security and Undermine Governance Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic will almost certainly escalate rapidly in Africa, further deteriorating human security, endangering governmental stability, aggravating territorial conflicts, and enabling Chinese expansionism throughout the continent. Spreading Epidemic: By 2 April, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) reported 6,234 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 356
Eagle Eye 355
EE-355Download VENEZUELA: Mass Emigration May Exacerbate Social and Economic Turmoil Summary: The mass emigration of Venezuelans amid a humanitarian crisis will likely heighten regional tensions, exacerbate the decline of Venezuela’s oil economy, and increase health concerns throughout Latin America. These consequences of mass emigration may precipitate a power vacuum in Venezuela that criminal organizations and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 355
Eagle Eye 354
EE-353Download IRAN: Growing Uranium Stockpiles Will Likely Exacerbate Tensions with the West Summary: Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium continues to grow beyond the limit set in 2015, signaling that the conservative parliament will likely not respond to global pressures to reduce stockpiles. Development: On 3 March, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that Iran’s … Continue reading Eagle Eye 354
Eagle Eye 353
EE-353Download HEZBOLLAH: Political, Financial Turmoil Will Likely Refocus Operations Domestically Summary: The Lebanese Hezbollah will likely refocus towards resolving domestic issues and reduce its operational capabilities abroad as a result of changing Iranian military leadership and growing political volatility in Lebanon. Hezbollah may also direct foreign operations towards developing its connection with criminal enterprises in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 353
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EE-352Download MALI: Ethnic Tensions and Cross-border Violence Likely to Increase Conflict Summary: Heightened ethnic tensions, issues maintaining international military support, and porous borders with the neighboring Sahel and North African countries will likely exacerbate the conflict between the Malian government and various jihadist groups in the North. Stalemate in Mali: Jihadist groups hold large amounts … Continue reading Eagle Eye 352
Eagle Eye 351
EE-351Download UNITED KINGDOM: Uncertainty Following Brexit Likely to Continue Summary: Following the United Kingdom’s (UK) official departure from the European Union (EU), the UK will likely enter a period of political and economic uncertainty. The tensions created as a result of Brexit proceedings will likely increase, showing through potential issues in domestic policy and the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 351
Eagle Eye 350
EE-350Download POLAND: Controversial Judicial Reform Bill May Agitate EU Relationships Summary: The passage of a controversial judicial reform bill in Poland will likely inhibit judiciary capabilities and inflame tensions with the European Union (EU). Development: On 4 February, Polish President Andrzej Duda authorized a bill allowing politicians to fine and fire judges who made decisions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 350
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EE-349Download IRAN: Political Sentiment, Economic Contraction Likely to Weaken Regional Influence Summary: The Islamic Republic of Iran will likely lose aspects of its substate proxy operations despite attempts to bolster support of Kata'ib Hezbollah in Iraq and Hezbollah in Syria and Lebanon as internal political condemnation and foreign pressure restrict flexibility and capabilities. Reduction in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 349
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EE-348Download Members of Eagle Eye Intelligence, along with members of the Honors Program at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott Campus, recently began conducting research into whaling for the Undergraduate Research Institute and Elephants, Rhinos & People. We have therefore decided to publish a special edition on whaling and its current geopolitical implications. WHALING: Status Quo Likely … Continue reading Eagle Eye 348