Our Posts

EE-342Download CANADA: Liberal Party Loses Seats, but Maintains Control of Minority Government Summary: Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party maintained a plurality in Parliament despite losing several seats across the country. The decline in support for Trudeau’s party despite relative success on policy indicates an effective campaign from the Conservative Party to characterize him … Continue reading Eagle Eye 342

CHINA: Investment in Africa Furthers Beijing’s Influence and Freedom of Action EE 341Download Summary: China’s significant investment in infrastructure and mining projects in Africa strongly indicates Beijing’s attempt to leverage the continent’s resources and emerging economies for regional influence. China’s presence will likely give additional strategic options over other actors near the Middle East and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 341

EE-340Download IRAN: Development of Sub-state Proxies Will Likely Continue Amid Heightened Tensions Summary: The Islamic Republic of Iran will likely reinforce support of non-state allies in Lebanon, Iraq, Gaza, and Yemen to sustain extra-national influence as it vies for regional hegemony. Direct conflict between Tehran and its enemies remains unlikely given the expected severe consequences, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 340

EE-339Download CHINA: Beijing’s Military Modernization Efforts in the Pacific Threaten US Logistics Summary: China’s recent military development in aircraft, ballistic missile capabilities and building military initiations in the South China Sea (SCS) provide Beijing with an extended range to project power, threatening US logistic capability in the Pacific. This threat will likely cause other nations … Continue reading Eagle Eye 339

EE-338Download RUSSIA: Support for Europe’s Far Right Show Deep Ideological Influence Mission Summary: Russia’s support and heavy investments to influence European far-right groups illustrates a repeating pattern that Moscow employs on nationalist parties in France, Germany, Great Britain, and Italy. Through cultivating alliances with these parties, Russia can further its strategic goals of balancing power … Continue reading Eagle Eye 338

EE 337Download CHINA: Xi Chooses Inaction on Hong Kong amid Internal and External Constraints  Summary: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s reluctance to intervene in the protests in Hong Kong likely stems from fear of global political and economic repercussions. At the same time, Xi’s nationalist base is pushing him to take a hardline approach. On balance, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 337

EE-336Download YEMEN: Saudi-UAE Coalition Divide Indicate a Sustained Conflict Summary: The civil war in Yemen will likely endure despite the Saudi-UAE coalition’s support of President Hadi’s government. The continued conflict will strain global humanitarian aid efforts, depress Saudi Arabia’s image as a regional power, and reinforce the UAE’s authority over maritime commerce in the Arabian … Continue reading Eagle Eye 336

EE-335Download ARGENTINA: Government Targets Iranian Funds to Limit Presence of Hezbollah Summary: The Argentine government will likely continue to apply economic pressure to Iran by freezing the funds of Iranians due to their connections with Hezbollah and the bombing of the AMIA in 1994. Development: On 18 July, the Argentine Financial Information Unit (UIF) ordered … Continue reading Eagle Eye 335

EE 334Download Please see the PDF attachment above for the Iran article ISRAEL: Netanyahu Opposition Will Likely Continue Developing Political Influence Despite Election Loss Summary: Benny Gantz will likely maintain political influence in Israel despite his loss of the 9 April election for the premiership and will hold some leverage over the Knesset due to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 334

EUROPEAN UNION: Parliamentary Elections Likely to Reflect Rising Nationalist Power Summary: Nationalist parties will likely experience slight gains in the upcoming European Union Parliament elections possibly creating a hung parliament and limiting the effectiveness of the EU. This could feed into anti-EU sentiment and add to the rhetoric of nationalist parties that have been experiencing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 333