Our Posts

EE 337Download CHINA: Xi Chooses Inaction on Hong Kong amid Internal and External Constraints  Summary: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s reluctance to intervene in the protests in Hong Kong likely stems from fear of global political and economic repercussions. At the same time, Xi’s nationalist base is pushing him to take a hardline approach. On balance, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 337

EE-336Download YEMEN: Saudi-UAE Coalition Divide Indicate a Sustained Conflict Summary: The civil war in Yemen will likely endure despite the Saudi-UAE coalition’s support of President Hadi’s government. The continued conflict will strain global humanitarian aid efforts, depress Saudi Arabia’s image as a regional power, and reinforce the UAE’s authority over maritime commerce in the Arabian … Continue reading Eagle Eye 336

EE-335Download ARGENTINA: Government Targets Iranian Funds to Limit Presence of Hezbollah Summary: The Argentine government will likely continue to apply economic pressure to Iran by freezing the funds of Iranians due to their connections with Hezbollah and the bombing of the AMIA in 1994. Development: On 18 July, the Argentine Financial Information Unit (UIF) ordered … Continue reading Eagle Eye 335

EE 334Download Please see the PDF attachment above for the Iran article ISRAEL: Netanyahu Opposition Will Likely Continue Developing Political Influence Despite Election Loss Summary: Benny Gantz will likely maintain political influence in Israel despite his loss of the 9 April election for the premiership and will hold some leverage over the Knesset due to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 334

EUROPEAN UNION: Parliamentary Elections Likely to Reflect Rising Nationalist Power Summary: Nationalist parties will likely experience slight gains in the upcoming European Union Parliament elections possibly creating a hung parliament and limiting the effectiveness of the EU. This could feed into anti-EU sentiment and add to the rhetoric of nationalist parties that have been experiencing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 333

EE 332Download RUSSIA: Rosatom’s Nuclear Energy Exports Dominate Market, Providing New Source of Influence Summary Rosatom, Russia’s state-backed nuclear energy corporation, controls most of the global nuclear energy export market through providing apparently attractive financial programs, expertise, and end-to-end services supporting all facets of nuclear power production. These services also allow Rosatom to enter new … Continue reading Eagle Eye 332

EE 331Download CHINA: Aggressive Actions Indicate New Strategy Towards Taiwan Summary: In 2017, Chinese President Xi Jinping declared at the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party that his administration's hardline approach to cross-strait now constitutes official policy. Xi has taken unprecedented, diplomatic, economic, political subversion, and military actions towards Taiwan, the current ruling Democratic … Continue reading Eagle Eye 331

EE 330Download WESTERN EUROPE: Nationalism Generally Rises Ahead of Key Upcoming Elections Summary: Over the last five years, nationalism as a political force increased across Western Europe. Nationalism rose particularly prolifically in Belgium and Italy, while making more modest gains in France and Germany. It will likely continue to gain prominence as an ideology due … Continue reading Eagle Eye 330

EE+329Download THAILAND: Military Influence and Instability Likely to Continue Summary: Despite the recent announcement of parliamentary elections in Thailand after years of delays and following coups in 2006 and 2014, Thai military leaders appear intent on ensuring that the balance of power will remain in their favor. Dissatisfaction with the military’s influence runs deep, but … Continue reading Eagle Eye Issue 329

EE+328Download To view our Israel article, please download EE 328 above. EUROPEAN UNION: Russian Hacking Group Influencing Elections to Create Instability Summary: Russia-linked advanced persistent threat (APT) groups are targeting democratic organizations, journalists, and think-tanks ahead of European Union Parliament elections. Moscow likely hopes to create fear and a sense of distrust in electoral integrity. … Continue reading Eagle Eye Issue 328