Download MALAYSIA: Summit Likely to Aid in Deescalating South China Sea Maritime Incidents Summary: The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders meeting in Kuala Lumpur on 26-28 October will likely not eliminate periodic maritime incidents in the South China Sea but will likely aid in de-escalating these incidents. Development: On 27 October, Malaysian Prime … Continue reading Eagle Eye 481
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Eagle Eye 480
DOWNLOAD PERU: Political Instability Likely to Deepen Despite State of Emergency Summary: Despite Lima’s recent announcement of a 30=day state of emergency, crime rates will likely remain high. This will likely cause political instability in the country to deepen. Development: On 22 October, Peruvian President Jose Jeri declared a 30-day state of emergency in Lima … Continue reading Eagle Eye 480
Eagle Eye 479
Download RUSSIA: Statement on Azerbaijan Jet Crash Likely Caused by Need for Strong Relations Summary: President Vladimir Putin’s admission of involvement in the Azerbaijani jet crash last year likely reveals Moscow’s growing need for stronger relations with the few countries in its grasp. This acknowledgement will probably result in renewed relations between the two former Soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 479
Eagle Eye 478
DOWNLOAD MOLDOVA: Russian Pressure Very Likely to Intensify Following Election Results Summary: Moldova’s pro-European Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) gained Parliament seats in the 28 September elections, likely strengthening President Maia Sandu’s European Union (EU) integration plan. This victory will very likely increase Russian pressure on the country. Development: On 28 September, Moldovan voters gave … Continue reading Eagle Eye 478
Eagle Eye 477
Download DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO: Cobalt Export Quotas Unlikely to Succeed Summary: While Kinshasa’s opening of cobalt exports will likely result in a slight short-term increase in the economy, the cobalt quota system will almost certainly have a negligible overall impact. Background: On 21 September, Kinshasa stated that it would raise the current cobalt export … Continue reading Eagle Eye 477
Eagle Eye 476
Download POLAND: Moscow Will Likely Continue Drone Incursions into Airspace Summary: Moscow will likely continue to violate Polish airspace with drones as a to test security agreements between the North Atlantic Trade Organization (NATO) members. Despite the drone operations, Moscow will almost certainly avoid another significant military operation. Background: On 9 September, Polish officials reported … Continue reading Eagle Eye 476
Eagle Eye 475
Download ISRAEL: Rapid Offensive Likely in Preparation for United Nations General Assembly Summary: Israel is likely aiming to make significant progress in the conflict in Gaza before the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) discusses the situation to avoid increasing international scrutiny. Israel issued an evacuation order to Gaza while increasing its strikes on the city … Continue reading Eagle Eye 475
Eagle Eye 474
Download BRAZIL: Police Brutality Highly Likely to Continue Despite Countermeasures Summary: Police violence will highly likely continue, despite the Brazilian government taking preventative measures. A recent Supreme Court ruling on a landmark case on police violence in low-income neighborhoods will very likely lead the government to put new oversight policies in place. Even with … Continue reading Eagle Eye 474
Eagle Eye 473
Download COLOMBIA: Government Corruption Likely an Effort to Maintain Control Summary: Corruption runs rampant in Bogota, with high-ranking government officials likely attempting to gain political influence and remain in control. Systemic corruption and “Cartels of the Robe” attempt to exert power and control over politics. They accomplish this by using their positions and funds gained … Continue reading Eagle Eye 473
Eagle Eye 472
Download BRAZIL: Political Corruption Highly Likely to Damage Public’s View of Government Summary: The continuous political corruption within the Brazilian government, exemplified by ongoing charges against former President Jair Bolsonaro, will likely damage the public’s confidence in the government. Given the Supreme Court’s recent ruling, the courts will likely convict Bolsonaro of an attempted coup. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 472