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Eagle Eye 396

DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Belarus Joint Military Drills on Ukraine Likely Indicates Imminent Action Summary: Following the recent announcement of military exercises conducted alongside Belarus and the slow evacuation of the Russian Embassy in Kyiv, Russian President Vladimir Putin will likely take swift action on the Ukraine conflict in the near future. Development: On 18 January, Moscow … Continue reading Eagle Eye 396

Eagle Eye 394

DOWNLOAD TAIWAN: Upgraded Fighter Jets Will Probably Not Deter Airspace Incursions Summary: Taipei’s newly renovated F-16V (Viper) fighter jets probably result in minimal advancements to Taipei’s air defense capabilities and will likely not repel Beijing’s incursions into the Taiwanese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). Development: On 18 November, Taipei unveiled its newly renovated F-16 Viper … Continue reading Eagle Eye 394

Eagle Eye 393

DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Moscow Likely Attempting to Provoke Ukrainian First-Strike Summary: Moscow’s mobilization of troops near the Ukrainian border probably reflects an effort to provoke a Ukrainian military response despite its public denial of intent. Development: On 12 November, Moscow publicly denied any intent to invade Ukraine at this time and said that the movement of … Continue reading Eagle Eye 393

Eagle Eye 392

DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Gulf State Retaliation Likely an Attempt to Uproot Iranian Influence Summary: Prime Minister Najib Mikati placed pressure on Information Minister George Kordahi after Kordahi’s comments on the Saudi-led war in Yemen prompted severe backlash from several Gulf states. The retaliation from several Gulf states, especiallyRiyadh, likely represents a move to force Beirut to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 392

Eagle Eye 390

DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Interference in Former Soviet Bloc Possibly to Gain Power and Protect Borders Summary: Following the fall of the Soviet Union, Moscow maintains influence in many regional affairs. It used its power to gain loyalty in parts of Ukraine and build strong ties with Nur-Sultan, which currently faces a critical decision regarding future relations … Continue reading Eagle Eye 390

Eagle Eye 389

DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389