DOwnload RUSSIA: European Union Secondary Sanctions Likely to Reduce Oil Evasion Summary: Expanded European Union (EU) secondary sanctions will likely reduce Russia’s ability to evade energy restrictions. In turn, this would probably increase Moscow’s reliance on narrower trade partnerships and less transparent logistics networks. Development: On 9 February, the EU proposed a new sanctions package targeting third-country ports and commercial … Continue reading Eagle Eye 489
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Download RUSSIA: Cloud-Based Phishing Campaign Likely to Increase Malware’s Resilience Summary: A newly identified phishing campaign targeting Russian users will likely increase cybercriminal resilience by abusing legitimate cloud services to distribute Amnesia RAT and ransomware. Development: On 24 January, cybersecurity researchers identified a multi-stage phishing campaign targeting users in Russia that delivers a remote access … Continue reading Eagle Eye 487
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Download CHINA: Expansion of Blue Water Fleet Presence Almost Certain After Bering Sea Patrol Summary: TheChinese Coast Guard has entered the Bering Sea for the first time while patrolling with Russian Border Guard vessels. Beijing is almost certainly attempting to expand its reach beyond Chinese waters by expanding the presence of its blue-water fleet. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 458
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Solomon Islands Security Pact Likely to Establish a Military Base Summary: Beijing and Honiara seek to establish a security pact with one another. This will most likely shift the balance of power and influence in the Indo-Pacific Region. Development: On 25 March, Honiara released an official statement confirming the rumors of a security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 404
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DOWNLOAD SOUTH KOREA: Conservative Party Likely Rebounding from Past Political Fracture Summary: The conservative People Power Party (PPP) won the presidential election and seem likely to gain more popularity due to its political strategies. The Democratic Party of Korea (DP) most likely will lose some of its power due to the Moon Jae-in administration’s decreasing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 403
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: Tension Likely to Increase Amid Fears of Terrorist Groups Summary: Pakistani Ambassador Mansoor Ahmad Khan has expressed concerns over growing foreign terrorist groups in Afghanistan. The growth of such groups will likely create unstable relations between Kabul and Islamabad. Development: On 21 February, Khan voiced his concerns regarding growing terrorist groups and tensions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 400
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Child Labor Likely to Receive Backlash from United Nations Summary: A recent study found that close to one million children may be working in Afghanistan to support their families. This likely will prompt backlash from the United Nations (UN), which remains in the process of sending humanitarian aid to the country. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 399
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DOWNLOAD QATAR: Mediation Over Afghan Peace Talks Will Likely Reinforce Regional Influence Summary: Doha’s role in mediating talks between the Taliban and Afghan government will likely boost Qatar’s regional standing in coming months due to its influence over the Taliban. Development: On 11 September, peace talks began in Doha between the Taliban and Afghan government. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 384
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DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Cairo Likely to Use All Options to Counter Ethiopian Nile Dam Summary: Since the start of the year, talks between Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) have broken down, while the occurrence of alleged Egyptian-backed proxy conflict has increased at the Sudanese-Ethiopian border. Recently, Cairo has taken … Continue reading Eagle Eye 376
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DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Pledge of Support to Libya Likely Indicates Future Cooperation Summary: A meeting between the Egyptian President and the Interim Libyan Prime Minister will likely lead to Egypt taking more responsibility in rebuilding Libya’s national government. Development: On 18 February, more than six years after closing its embassy in Tripoli, Egyptian President Abdel … Continue reading Eagle Eye 375