Download SERBIA: Natural Gas Balancing Likely to Avoid Sanctions Without Harming Relations Summary: Belgrade’s mixed actions and statements regarding its future natural gas imports likely reflect a desire to avoid significantly worsening its relations with Brussels, and thus new sanctions, while maintaining its positive relations with Moscow. Development: On 10 February, CEO of Serbian state-owned … Continue reading Eagle Eye 490
Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
Download CHINA: Non-Military Actions Likely Intended to Increase Positive Perception of Country Summary: Recent anti-China rhetoric in the Pacific, Beijing’s non-military responses, and its diplomatic missions worldwide likely suggest that Beijing is seeking to project an image of a peaceful country globally through diplomatic efforts. This likely represents Beijing’s attempt to counter its national image … Continue reading Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
Eagle Eye 483
DOWNLOAD MALI: Fuel Blockade Almost Certain to Intensify, Allowing Jihadists to Increase Control Summary: Al-Qaeda-aligned terrorist group Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) will almost certainly intensify its ongoing blockage of Bamako and other Malian cities. This will likely lead to the ruling junta’s destabilization and expanded JNIM territorial and governmental control. Development: On 10 November, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 483
Eagle Eye 481
Download MALAYSIA: Summit Likely to Aid in Deescalating South China Sea Maritime Incidents Summary: The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) leaders meeting in Kuala Lumpur on 26-28 October will likely not eliminate periodic maritime incidents in the South China Sea but will likely aid in de-escalating these incidents. Development: On 27 October, Malaysian Prime … Continue reading Eagle Eye 481
Eagle Eye 479
Download RUSSIA: Statement on Azerbaijan Jet Crash Likely Caused by Need for Strong Relations Summary: President Vladimir Putin’s admission of involvement in the Azerbaijani jet crash last year likely reveals Moscow’s growing need for stronger relations with the few countries in its grasp. This acknowledgement will probably result in renewed relations between the two former Soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 479
Eagle Eye 478
DOWNLOAD MOLDOVA: Russian Pressure Very Likely to Intensify Following Election Results Summary: Moldova’s pro-European Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) gained Parliament seats in the 28 September elections, likely strengthening President Maia Sandu’s European Union (EU) integration plan. This victory will very likely increase Russian pressure on the country. Development: On 28 September, Moldovan voters gave … Continue reading Eagle Eye 478
Eagle Eye 461
Download CHINA: Hacking Discoveries Likely to Encourage Malicious Cyber Activity from Beijing Summary: Beijing’s typhoon cyber-attacks presented a security threat to its competitors. The attacks possessed the capability to attack infrastructure, commit espionage, and monitor activity of United States presidential candidates and others. Beijing almost certainly will develop more powerful cyberweapons to replace the typhoon … Continue reading Eagle Eye 461
Eagle Eye 460
download CHINA: Border Conflict with India Likely to End After Pact Agreement Summary: After weeks of talks between Beijing and New Delhi, they have come to an agreement and formed a pact over the much disputed “Line of Actual Control (LAC).” Beijing and New Delhi will likely stop conflict over the border and strengthen their … Continue reading Eagle Eye 460
Eagle Eye 459
DOWNLOAD JAKARTA: Reliance on Chinese Investment May Increase Under New Leadership Summary: Jakarta’s new administration may rely on Chinese investment more to pursue its goal of 8% economic growth. Beijing’s monopolization of nickel in Indonesia may prove problematic for Washington in the future. Development: On 20 October, Prabowo Subianto swore in as the eighth president … Continue reading Eagle Eye 459
Eagle Eye 458
Download CHINA: Expansion of Blue Water Fleet Presence Almost Certain After Bering Sea Patrol Summary: TheChinese Coast Guard has entered the Bering Sea for the first time while patrolling with Russian Border Guard vessels. Beijing is almost certainly attempting to expand its reach beyond Chinese waters by expanding the presence of its blue-water fleet. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 458