DOWNLOAD CHINA: Election Results Could Escalate Tensions in the South China Sea Summary: China’s President Xi Jinping’s third term could lead to economic coercions with territories in the South China Sea (SCS). Development: On 23 October, Xi secured a third term in office. Xi announced six loyalists to join the Politburo Standing Committee who will … Continue reading Eagle Eye 415
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Trade Disputes May Force Canberra into Negotiations Summary: Canberra’s reliance on Beijing’s economic relationship might influence Canberra to negotiate in Beijing’s favor. Development: On 14 October, China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Chan, requested Canberra for quiet diplomacy to mend Canberra’s conflicts with Beijing, according to SBSNews. Beijing’s current trade sanctions on Australian exports, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 414
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Download CHINA: Cyberattacks in Taiwan Likely to Encourage Conflict Summary: Beijing’s cyber assaults against Taipei will likely disrupt Taiwanese morale since Taipei remains in a constant vulnerable position with Beijing. Development: On 9 October, Taiwanese parliament member Wang Ting-Yu announced an increase in cyberattacks from Beijing. Inaccurate information regarding the attacks continues to circulate on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 413
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DOWNLOAD PHILIPPINES: Pending Election Results Will Likely Increase Domestic Conflict Summary: Election polls demonstrate that the Philippines will likely elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr. to presidential office in the upcoming election. Marcos Jr., son of previous Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos Sr., has close ties to the current President Rodrigo Duterte. If elected, the Marcos family history … Continue reading Eagle Eye 408
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Beijing Unlikely to Contribute Military Aid to Moscow Summary: Beijing will likely continue to offer Moscow an economic lifeline to avoid sanctions due to the “No Limits” friendship between the two nations. However, Beijing likely will not contribute direct military assistance to Moscow in the form of weapon sales or troop deployment due … Continue reading Eagle Eye 407
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Solomon Islands Security Pact Likely to Establish a Military Base Summary: Beijing and Honiara seek to establish a security pact with one another. This will most likely shift the balance of power and influence in the Indo-Pacific Region. Development: On 25 March, Honiara released an official statement confirming the rumors of a security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 404
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA-UKRAINE: Minsk Agreements May Influence Negotiations with Turkey Likely to Act as Mediator Summary: The Russian war with Ukraine could lead to Ankara mediating the conflict due to pressure from NATO. Former Minsk Agreements will likely act as a reference in creating a new agreement between Moscow and Kyiv. Background: Tensions between Kyiv and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 401
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: Tension Likely to Increase Amid Fears of Terrorist Groups Summary: Pakistani Ambassador Mansoor Ahmad Khan has expressed concerns over growing foreign terrorist groups in Afghanistan. The growth of such groups will likely create unstable relations between Kabul and Islamabad. Development: On 21 February, Khan voiced his concerns regarding growing terrorist groups and tensions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 400
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Moscow Likely Attempting to Provoke Ukrainian First-Strike Summary: Moscow’s mobilization of troops near the Ukrainian border probably reflects an effort to provoke a Ukrainian military response despite its public denial of intent. Development: On 12 November, Moscow publicly denied any intent to invade Ukraine at this time and said that the movement of … Continue reading Eagle Eye 393
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DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Gulf State Retaliation Likely an Attempt to Uproot Iranian Influence Summary: Prime Minister Najib Mikati placed pressure on Information Minister George Kordahi after Kordahi’s comments on the Saudi-led war in Yemen prompted severe backlash from several Gulf states. The retaliation from several Gulf states, especiallyRiyadh, likely represents a move to force Beirut to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 392
