DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Military Drills with Beijing Likely to Strengthen Ties and Intimidation Summary: Moscow almost certainly intends its week-long military exercises to bolster relations with Beijing and display military capabilities. Development: On 2 September, reports stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin will attend the week-long military exercises in Vostok. The drills involve 50,000 weapons units, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 409
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DOWNLOAD EUROPEAN UNION: AstraZeneca Vaccine Likely to Result in Public Distrust and Delayed Immunity Summary: Recent controversy surrounding AstraZeneca and its COVID-19 vaccine complicate vaccine rollout in the European Union (EU). The dispute between the company and EU member nations will likely result in decreased public trust in vaccines and delayed immunity across the continent. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 383
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Vaccine Efficacy Results May Disrupt Distribution Plans Summary: Beijing admitted to low efficacy rates for its current COVID-19 vaccines, which will likely set back its distribution plans. Nations that accepted vaccine shipments from China may also need to change course. Development: On 10 April, Director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 381
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DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Cairo Likely Seeks Alliances to Help Deter Regional Threats Summary: Since mid-February, Cairo took actions to promote political and economic development in multiple African and Asian nations to regain regional influence, support current allies, and develop new ones. Cairo reaffirmed its alliances with Khartoum and Amman. Currently, it continues investing heavily in Kinshasa … Continue reading Eagle Eye 378
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DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Pledge of Support to Libya Likely Indicates Future Cooperation Summary: A meeting between the Egyptian President and the Interim Libyan Prime Minister will likely lead to Egypt taking more responsibility in rebuilding Libya’s national government. Development: On 18 February, more than six years after closing its embassy in Tripoli, Egyptian President Abdel … Continue reading Eagle Eye 375
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EE-367Download FRANCE: Growing Islamophobia Will Likely Increase Tensions, Weaken Diplomacy Summary: Growing Islamophobia in France may exacerbate Islamic extremism and will almost certainly heighten tensions between ethnic French and Muslims. Tensions will likely catalyze anti-immigration policies in Paris and may hurt French diplomatic standing globally. Growing Xenophobia: During January 2015, the French government banned burqas, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 367
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EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357
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EE-356Download AFRICA: COVID-19 Will Almost Certainly Impair Security and Undermine Governance Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic will almost certainly escalate rapidly in Africa, further deteriorating human security, endangering governmental stability, aggravating territorial conflicts, and enabling Chinese expansionism throughout the continent. Spreading Epidemic: By 2 April, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) reported 6,234 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 356
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EE-355Download VENEZUELA: Mass Emigration May Exacerbate Social and Economic Turmoil Summary: The mass emigration of Venezuelans amid a humanitarian crisis will likely heighten regional tensions, exacerbate the decline of Venezuela’s oil economy, and increase health concerns throughout Latin America. These consequences of mass emigration may precipitate a power vacuum in Venezuela that criminal organizations and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 355
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EE-353Download IRAN: Growing Uranium Stockpiles Will Likely Exacerbate Tensions with the West Summary: Iran’s stockpile of enriched uranium continues to grow beyond the limit set in 2015, signaling that the conservative parliament will likely not respond to global pressures to reduce stockpiles. Development: On 3 March, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that Iran’s … Continue reading Eagle Eye 354