Download SERBIA: Natural Gas Balancing Likely to Avoid Sanctions Without Harming Relations Summary: Belgrade’s mixed actions and statements regarding its future natural gas imports likely reflect a desire to avoid significantly worsening its relations with Brussels, and thus new sanctions, while maintaining its positive relations with Moscow. Development: On 10 February, CEO of Serbian state-owned … Continue reading Eagle Eye 490
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Download IRAN: Nuclear Talks Likely First Step Towards Easing Tensions Summary: If the nuclear disarmament negotiations with Tehran in Istanbul succeed, it will likely accelerate efforts to de-escalate regional tensions. Background: On 2 February, Tehran agreed to enter diplomatic talks in Istanbul alongside other regional powers over the nuclear disarmament of the Iranian armed forces. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 488
Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
Download CHINA: Non-Military Actions Likely Intended to Increase Positive Perception of Country Summary: Recent anti-China rhetoric in the Pacific, Beijing’s non-military responses, and its diplomatic missions worldwide likely suggest that Beijing is seeking to project an image of a peaceful country globally through diplomatic efforts. This likely represents Beijing’s attempt to counter its national image … Continue reading Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Trade Disputes May Force Canberra into Negotiations Summary: Canberra’s reliance on Beijing’s economic relationship might influence Canberra to negotiate in Beijing’s favor. Development: On 14 October, China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Chan, requested Canberra for quiet diplomacy to mend Canberra’s conflicts with Beijing, according to SBSNews. Beijing’s current trade sanctions on Australian exports, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 414
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EE-367Download FRANCE: Growing Islamophobia Will Likely Increase Tensions, Weaken Diplomacy Summary: Growing Islamophobia in France may exacerbate Islamic extremism and will almost certainly heighten tensions between ethnic French and Muslims. Tensions will likely catalyze anti-immigration policies in Paris and may hurt French diplomatic standing globally. Growing Xenophobia: During January 2015, the French government banned burqas, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 367
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EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359