DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389
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DOWNLOAD EUROPEAN UNION: AstraZeneca Vaccine Likely to Result in Public Distrust and Delayed Immunity Summary: Recent controversy surrounding AstraZeneca and its COVID-19 vaccine complicate vaccine rollout in the European Union (EU). The dispute between the company and EU member nations will likely result in decreased public trust in vaccines and delayed immunity across the continent. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 383
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EE-365Download KYRGYZSTAN: Reform and Change Unlikely Amid Rising Authoritarianism Summary: Ethnic tensions, democratic shortcomings, and corruption will probably facilitate a strong authoritarian government. This government will almost certainly seek to quell ethnic tensions, impede democratic reforms, and continue corrupt practices to maintain the status quo during times of political unrest. Kyrgyz Turmoil: The former soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 365
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EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359
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EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357
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EE-351Download UNITED KINGDOM: Uncertainty Following Brexit Likely to Continue Summary: Following the United Kingdom’s (UK) official departure from the European Union (EU), the UK will likely enter a period of political and economic uncertainty. The tensions created as a result of Brexit proceedings will likely increase, showing through potential issues in domestic policy and the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 351
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EE-350Download POLAND: Controversial Judicial Reform Bill May Agitate EU Relationships Summary: The passage of a controversial judicial reform bill in Poland will likely inhibit judiciary capabilities and inflame tensions with the European Union (EU). Development: On 4 February, Polish President Andrzej Duda authorized a bill allowing politicians to fine and fire judges who made decisions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 350