EE-365Download KYRGYZSTAN: Reform and Change Unlikely Amid Rising Authoritarianism Summary: Ethnic tensions, democratic shortcomings, and corruption will probably facilitate a strong authoritarian government. This government will almost certainly seek to quell ethnic tensions, impede democratic reforms, and continue corrupt practices to maintain the status quo during times of political unrest. Kyrgyz Turmoil: The former soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 365
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EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364
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EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359
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EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357
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EE-355Download VENEZUELA: Mass Emigration May Exacerbate Social and Economic Turmoil Summary: The mass emigration of Venezuelans amid a humanitarian crisis will likely heighten regional tensions, exacerbate the decline of Venezuela’s oil economy, and increase health concerns throughout Latin America. These consequences of mass emigration may precipitate a power vacuum in Venezuela that criminal organizations and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 355
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EE-351Download UNITED KINGDOM: Uncertainty Following Brexit Likely to Continue Summary: Following the United Kingdom’s (UK) official departure from the European Union (EU), the UK will likely enter a period of political and economic uncertainty. The tensions created as a result of Brexit proceedings will likely increase, showing through potential issues in domestic policy and the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 351
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EE-350Download POLAND: Controversial Judicial Reform Bill May Agitate EU Relationships Summary: The passage of a controversial judicial reform bill in Poland will likely inhibit judiciary capabilities and inflame tensions with the European Union (EU). Development: On 4 February, Polish President Andrzej Duda authorized a bill allowing politicians to fine and fire judges who made decisions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 350