download CHINA: Naval Operations Likely to Fracture Provisional Agreement Amid Rising Tension Summary: People’s Liberation Army (PLA), People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), and China Coast Guard (CCG) assets increased operations within Second Thomas Shoal, which will likely increase tensions with Manila and Taipei. Development: On 24 September, PLAN warships and CCG cutters blocked a Philippine … Continue reading Eagle Eye 502
Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
Download CHINA: Non-Military Actions Likely Intended to Increase Positive Perception of Country Summary: Recent anti-China rhetoric in the Pacific, Beijing’s non-military responses, and its diplomatic missions worldwide likely suggest that Beijing is seeking to project an image of a peaceful country globally through diplomatic efforts. This likely represents Beijing’s attempt to counter its national image … Continue reading Eagle Eye 485 – Fall 2025 Special Edition
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download CHINA: Border Conflict with India Likely to End After Pact Agreement Summary: After weeks of talks between Beijing and New Delhi, they have come to an agreement and formed a pact over the much disputed “Line of Actual Control (LAC).” Beijing and New Delhi will likely stop conflict over the border and strengthen their … Continue reading Eagle Eye 460
Eagle Eye 458
Download CHINA: Expansion of Blue Water Fleet Presence Almost Certain After Bering Sea Patrol Summary: TheChinese Coast Guard has entered the Bering Sea for the first time while patrolling with Russian Border Guard vessels. Beijing is almost certainly attempting to expand its reach beyond Chinese waters by expanding the presence of its blue-water fleet. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 458
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Download CHINA: Hong Kong 47 Trial Will Most Likely Have Great Impact on Future Democracy Summary: The first round of trials for Hong Kong political activists will most likely damage the island’s democratic integrity. Development: On 6 February, the first trials began for 16 of the 47 Hong Kong political activists accused of subversion. The … Continue reading Eagle Eye 422
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Child Labor Likely to Receive Backlash from United Nations Summary: A recent study found that close to one million children may be working in Afghanistan to support their families. This likely will prompt backlash from the United Nations (UN), which remains in the process of sending humanitarian aid to the country. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 399
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DOWNLOAD INDIA: Tensions on Three Fronts May Increase Effort to Improve Relations with Beijing Summary: Border tensions with Beijing on the Line of Actual Control (LAC), violence in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K), and tensions in the northeastern region may prompt New Delhi to increase its efforts in improving border relations with Beijing. Background: On 15 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 395
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DOWNLOAD INDIA: Failed Peace Talks with Beijing Will Probably Only Lead to Border Skirmishes Summary: New Delhi and Beijing’s failed attempt to reach an agreement on disengagement goals regarding the Line of Actual Control (LAC) at the recent peace talks will likely not escalate conflict levels. Development: On 10 October, New Delhi and Beijing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 388
Eagle Eye 387
DOWNLOAD INDIA: Troop Repositioning May Strengthen Position in Peace Talks with Beijing Summary: New Delhi’s repositioning of troops on the Ladakh border will most likely place the country in a better negotiating position during this month’s peace talks with Beijing. Development: On 5 October, New Delhi shifted 50,000 troops from the Pakistani border to the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 387
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DOWNLOAD CANADA: Snap Elections Likely Detrimental to Reputation of Administration Summary: Despite Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s projected retention of power, the inability of his party to gain a parliamentary majority and the unpopularity of the snap elections will almost certainly prove detrimental to the remainder of his time in office. Development: On 21 September, preliminary … Continue reading Eagle Eye 385