Download IRAN: Simulated Attack on Israel May Lead to Tehran’s Open Support of Hamas Summary: The simulated Iranian attack on an airbase in Israel showcases advances in military power which may indicate Tehran’s intention to openly support Hamas and involve its own military in the Israel-Hamas War. Development: On 12 February, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard … Continue reading Eagle Eye 447
Best Briefs Fall 2023
Download Special thanks to Professors Dale Avery and Alan Saquella for their participation in voting. Best Brief Fall 2023 Winner: MEXICO: Gang Ambushes Will Likely Continue to Disrupt the Lives of Citizens Summary: Local gangs in Sonora ambushed citizens, military professionals, and police officers two days in a row. These attacks disrupted schools and the … Continue reading Best Briefs Fall 2023
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Download ISRAEL-IRAN: Tehran Will Likely Resume Using Hamas as Proxy Toward Jerusalem Summary: Tehran will likely continue using proxies for its dirty work to avoid the consequences of its actions. A recent ceasefire in the war likely resulted from background actors trying to plan for short- and long-term intentions. Background: On 7 October, Iran-backed Hamas … Continue reading Eagle Eye 442
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Dowload RUSSIA: Negligent Drone Usage Likely to Continue Infringing Upon Romania Summary: Russia will most likely continue to intrude upon Romania and keep hold of the Black Sea through persistent drone attacks in Ukraine. These attacks continue to spill over into Romania, and Moscow will likely continue to do so as Bucharest refuses to retaliate. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 441
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Download RUSSIA: Riot at Dagestan Region Airport Likely to Cause Civil Unrest Summary: Antisemitic rioters stormed an airport in the Dagestan region of Russia, likely causing civil unrest in the region and country. Development: On 29 October, antisemitic rioters stormed a Dagestan airport. Rioters ran onto the tarmac and tried to catch the Israelis on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 440
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Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
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Download IRAN: Cyber-Attack Likely Executed in Effort to Increase National Security Objectives Summary: The Iranian hacker group MuddyWater carried out multiple destructive attacks on hybrid environments under the guise of a ransomware operation. The resulting activities will likely increase security operations between Middle Eastern nations and targeted victims. Development: On 8 April, the Tehran-linked … Continue reading Eagle Eye 430
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Download SYRIA: Assistance from Arab League Members Could Stabilize Relations Summary: The meetings attended by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad show a likely move to strengthen ties with members of the Arab League. The assistance provided by Arab League members for earthquake relief will likely evolve into more formal economic aid in the form of loans. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 429
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Download PERU: Recall of Mexican Ambassador to Likely Further Strain Relations Summary: Peruvian President Dina Ercilia Boluarte Zegarra permanently recalled Lima’s ambassador from Mexico City following comments made by Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The comments will likely lead to tension between Lima and Mexico City. Development: On 24 February, Boluarte announced the return … Continue reading Eagle Eye 426
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Download CUBA: Presidential Trip to Mexico Likely to Cause Political Alignment Summary: Meetings between Cuban and Mexican presidents will likely strengthen Cuban resistance against outside influences and create a hostile outlook toward democratic countries. Development: On 11 February, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel arrived in Mexico to meet with his counterpart, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López … Continue reading Eagle Eye 423