DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Record Low Economy and Loss of UN Vote Likely to Speed Up Elections Summary: The loss in value of the Lebanese Pound, UN vote losses, and continued vacancy in the president’s position may induce urgency in the Lebanese Parliament to fill a three-month presidential vacancy. Development: On 25 January, Lebanon's economy reached a … Continue reading Eagle Eye 421
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Download ROMANIA: Deployment of NATO Soldiers in Bucharest Likely to Deter Moscow Summary: The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allied forces, currently comprised of Paris, Ottawa, Brussels, Amsterdam, and other allied forces, stationed soldiers in Bucharest, which will likely deter Moscow’s war efforts. Development: On 26 October, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated, “Romania represents … Continue reading Eagle Eye 416
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DOWNLOAD IRAN: Protestor Deaths Will Likely Encourage Violent Anti-Government Action Summary: Following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, protests continue against Iranian police, resulting in the deaths of Iranian citizens. This may lead to more resistance and anger towards the Iranian government, likely leading to more violent demonstrations. Development: On 20 September, Iranian officials confirmed … Continue reading Eagle Eye 411
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DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Key Missile Developments Likely Signal Future Nuclear Weapons Tests Summary: Pyongyang seems likely to test nuclear weapons in the near future in conjunction with its rapidly advancing missile program. Pyongyang possesses advanced missile capabilities, now with a vital component for successfully launching an intercontinental ballistic missile most likely developed for reaching its … Continue reading Eagle Eye 405
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Child Labor Likely to Receive Backlash from United Nations Summary: A recent study found that close to one million children may be working in Afghanistan to support their families. This likely will prompt backlash from the United Nations (UN), which remains in the process of sending humanitarian aid to the country. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 399
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DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Gulf State Retaliation Likely an Attempt to Uproot Iranian Influence Summary: Prime Minister Najib Mikati placed pressure on Information Minister George Kordahi after Kordahi’s comments on the Saudi-led war in Yemen prompted severe backlash from several Gulf states. The retaliation from several Gulf states, especiallyRiyadh, likely represents a move to force Beirut to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 392
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DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Persistence of Increased Cyberattacks Likely to Fund Nuclear Program Summary: The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) sponsored and conducted a series of unprecedented cyberattacks through the efforts of various Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) groups. The DPRK-sponsored cyberattacks will almost certainly continue and will likely escalate, reinforced by the successes demonstrated in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 377
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EE-367Download FRANCE: Growing Islamophobia Will Likely Increase Tensions, Weaken Diplomacy Summary: Growing Islamophobia in France may exacerbate Islamic extremism and will almost certainly heighten tensions between ethnic French and Muslims. Tensions will likely catalyze anti-immigration policies in Paris and may hurt French diplomatic standing globally. Growing Xenophobia: During January 2015, the French government banned burqas, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 367
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EE-365Download KYRGYZSTAN: Reform and Change Unlikely Amid Rising Authoritarianism Summary: Ethnic tensions, democratic shortcomings, and corruption will probably facilitate a strong authoritarian government. This government will almost certainly seek to quell ethnic tensions, impede democratic reforms, and continue corrupt practices to maintain the status quo during times of political unrest. Kyrgyz Turmoil: The former soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 365
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EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364