Download ISRAEL: Airstrikes on Aleppo Airport Likely Targeted at Tehran’s Operations Summary: Jerusalem conducted an airstrike on Aleppo International Airport, resulting in a shutdown and five injuries. The attack will probably hinder Iranian operations and warn Iran of consequences if support for Syria continues. Development: On 14 October, Jerusalem launched an airstrike that hit and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 437
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Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
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Download TAIWAN: Chinese Refugee Case Signals Likely Continuation of Taipei’s Asylum Policy Summary: A Chinese dissident refused to return to Beijing and remains in Taiwan while seeking political asylum. The incident follows a trend of activists petitioning Taipei for refuge and will likely continue for the foreseeable future. Development: On 22 September, Chinese citizen and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 435
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Download IRAN: Cyber-Attack Likely Executed in Effort to Increase National Security Objectives Summary: The Iranian hacker group MuddyWater carried out multiple destructive attacks on hybrid environments under the guise of a ransomware operation. The resulting activities will likely increase security operations between Middle Eastern nations and targeted victims. Development: On 8 April, the Tehran-linked … Continue reading Eagle Eye 430
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Download ISRAEL: Oil Ship Attacked by Iran Likely Signals Escalation Against Regional Shipping Summary: The oil tanker Campo Square received an attack from drones launched by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Tehran is likely to increase its attacks on shipping lanes across the Arabian Sea and the Persian Gulf. Development: On 17 February, reports went … Continue reading Eagle Eye 424
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Download CHINA: Hong Kong 47 Trial Will Most Likely Have Great Impact on Future Democracy Summary: The first round of trials for Hong Kong political activists will most likely damage the island’s democratic integrity. Development: On 6 February, the first trials began for 16 of the 47 Hong Kong political activists accused of subversion. The … Continue reading Eagle Eye 422
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DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Key Missile Developments Likely Signal Future Nuclear Weapons Tests Summary: Pyongyang seems likely to test nuclear weapons in the near future in conjunction with its rapidly advancing missile program. Pyongyang possesses advanced missile capabilities, now with a vital component for successfully launching an intercontinental ballistic missile most likely developed for reaching its … Continue reading Eagle Eye 405
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DOWNLOAD SOUTH KOREA: Conservative Party Likely Rebounding from Past Political Fracture Summary: The conservative People Power Party (PPP) won the presidential election and seem likely to gain more popularity due to its political strategies. The Democratic Party of Korea (DP) most likely will lose some of its power due to the Moon Jae-in administration’s decreasing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 403
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EE-363-1Download TAIWAN: Chinese Militarization Will Almost Certainly Raise Tensions, Prompt Conflict Summary: Due to its militarization, a growing independence movement, and likely increase in support from regional allies, China will probably view Taiwan as a growing issue and take diplomatic or military action to quell dissent. Longstanding Tensions: Beijing strongly maintains the “One China Principle,” … Continue reading Eagle Eye 363
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EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359