download CHINA: Naval Operations Likely to Fracture Provisional Agreement Amid Rising Tension Summary: People’s Liberation Army (PLA), People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), and China Coast Guard (CCG) assets increased operations within Second Thomas Shoal, which will likely increase tensions with Manila and Taipei. Development: On 24 September, PLAN warships and CCG cutters blocked a Philippine … Continue reading Eagle Eye 502
Eagle Eye 501
Download RUSSIA: Arctic Oil Development Likely Signals Greater Cooperation with Beijing Summary: Moscow’s Vostok Oil exports and Northern Sea Route expansion will probably secure direct commercial access to Asia-Pacific markets. In turn, Beijing’s arctic infrastructure investments and resource demand will almost certainly deepen bilateral economic alignment. Development: On 21 September, the Vostok Oil project commissioned … Continue reading Eagle Eye 501
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Download UNITED KINGDOM: Southern Cartel Likely Owns Seized Drugs Summary: Authorities found cocaine worth approximately $12 million on a ship at Sheerness Port. A South American cartel likely owns the drugs on the boat en route to the Netherlands. Development: On 28 October, the National Crime Agency discovered approximately 300 pounds of cocaine at Sheerness … Continue reading Eagle Eye 439
Eagle Eye 438
Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438
Eagle Eye 437
Download ISRAEL: Airstrikes on Aleppo Airport Likely Targeted at Tehran’s Operations Summary: Jerusalem conducted an airstrike on Aleppo International Airport, resulting in a shutdown and five injuries. The attack will probably hinder Iranian operations and warn Iran of consequences if support for Syria continues. Development: On 14 October, Jerusalem launched an airstrike that hit and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 437
Eagle Eye 436
Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
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Download CHAD: Nationalized Energy Assets Will Likely Assure Favorable Export Control Summary: N’Djamena nationalized private oil assets, which will likely grant it more control over which countries receive it. Development: On 23 March, N’Djamena nationalized all assets, permits, and authorizations belonging to an Exxon Mobil subsidiary, according to Reuters. The assets include a 40-percent stake … Continue reading Eagle Eye 428
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DOWNLOAD IRAN: Protestor Deaths Will Likely Encourage Violent Anti-Government Action Summary: Following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, protests continue against Iranian police, resulting in the deaths of Iranian citizens. This may lead to more resistance and anger towards the Iranian government, likely leading to more violent demonstrations. Development: On 20 September, Iranian officials confirmed … Continue reading Eagle Eye 411
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DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389
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DOWNLOAD QATAR: Mediation Over Afghan Peace Talks Will Likely Reinforce Regional Influence Summary: Doha’s role in mediating talks between the Taliban and Afghan government will likely boost Qatar’s regional standing in coming months due to its influence over the Taliban. Development: On 11 September, peace talks began in Doha between the Taliban and Afghan government. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 384
