Download YEMEN: Houthi Rebels Will Likely Shut Down All Trade Conducting in the Red Sea Summary: On 6 March, Houthi militants ramped up attacks, causing fatalities for the first time. This escalation underscores the growing threat posed by the Houthi rebels to maritime security in the area. Given the increased frequency and intensity of these … Continue reading Eagle Eye 451
Best Briefs Fall 2023
Download Special thanks to Professors Dale Avery and Alan Saquella for their participation in voting. Best Brief Fall 2023 Winner: MEXICO: Gang Ambushes Will Likely Continue to Disrupt the Lives of Citizens Summary: Local gangs in Sonora ambushed citizens, military professionals, and police officers two days in a row. These attacks disrupted schools and the … Continue reading Best Briefs Fall 2023
Eagle Eye 442
Download ISRAEL-IRAN: Tehran Will Likely Resume Using Hamas as Proxy Toward Jerusalem Summary: Tehran will likely continue using proxies for its dirty work to avoid the consequences of its actions. A recent ceasefire in the war likely resulted from background actors trying to plan for short- and long-term intentions. Background: On 7 October, Iran-backed Hamas … Continue reading Eagle Eye 442
Eagle Eye 441
Dowload RUSSIA: Negligent Drone Usage Likely to Continue Infringing Upon Romania Summary: Russia will most likely continue to intrude upon Romania and keep hold of the Black Sea through persistent drone attacks in Ukraine. These attacks continue to spill over into Romania, and Moscow will likely continue to do so as Bucharest refuses to retaliate. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 441
Eagle Eye 440
Download RUSSIA: Riot at Dagestan Region Airport Likely to Cause Civil Unrest Summary: Antisemitic rioters stormed an airport in the Dagestan region of Russia, likely causing civil unrest in the region and country. Development: On 29 October, antisemitic rioters stormed a Dagestan airport. Rioters ran onto the tarmac and tried to catch the Israelis on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 440
Eagle Eye 438
Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438
Eagle Eye 436
Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
Eagle Eye 375
DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Pledge of Support to Libya Likely Indicates Future Cooperation Summary: A meeting between the Egyptian President and the Interim Libyan Prime Minister will likely lead to Egypt taking more responsibility in rebuilding Libya’s national government. Development: On 18 February, more than six years after closing its embassy in Tripoli, Egyptian President Abdel … Continue reading Eagle Eye 375
Eagle Eye 364
EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364
Eagle Eye 359
EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359