DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Record Low Economy and Loss of UN Vote Likely to Speed Up Elections Summary: The loss in value of the Lebanese Pound, UN vote losses, and continued vacancy in the president’s position may induce urgency in the Lebanese Parliament to fill a three-month presidential vacancy. Development: On 25 January, Lebanon's economy reached a … Continue reading Eagle Eye 421
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DOWNLOAD IRAN: Protestor Deaths Will Likely Encourage Violent Anti-Government Action Summary: Following the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini, protests continue against Iranian police, resulting in the deaths of Iranian citizens. This may lead to more resistance and anger towards the Iranian government, likely leading to more violent demonstrations. Development: On 20 September, Iranian officials confirmed … Continue reading Eagle Eye 411
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DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Persistence of Increased Cyberattacks Likely to Fund Nuclear Program Summary: The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) sponsored and conducted a series of unprecedented cyberattacks through the efforts of various Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) groups. The DPRK-sponsored cyberattacks will almost certainly continue and will likely escalate, reinforced by the successes demonstrated in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 377
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EE-369Download MOZAMBIQUE: Escalating Insurgency Poses Threat to Long-Term Security and Stability Summary: The Ahlu-Sunnah wa-Jama (ASWJ) will almost certainly continue to escalate its insurgency as it gains legitimacy through a nominal partnership with the Islamic State affiliates, destabilizing the northern provinces of Mozambique. Government security forces will probably maintain the current military-focused counterinsurgency strategy, which … Continue reading Eagle Eye 369
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EE-367Download FRANCE: Growing Islamophobia Will Likely Increase Tensions, Weaken Diplomacy Summary: Growing Islamophobia in France may exacerbate Islamic extremism and will almost certainly heighten tensions between ethnic French and Muslims. Tensions will likely catalyze anti-immigration policies in Paris and may hurt French diplomatic standing globally. Growing Xenophobia: During January 2015, the French government banned burqas, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 367
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EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364