EE-366Download IVORY COAST: Incumbent President’s Removal Unlikely Despite Tensions Summary: Incumbent President Alassane Ouattara will likely hold a third term despite calls for his removal. Current opposition tactics will almost certainly fail due to ineffective protests, the country’s economic growth under Ouattara, and support for his presidency from military and other governmental institutions. Electoral Tensions: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 366
Eagle Eye 359
EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359
Eagle Eye 357
EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357
Eagle Eye 355
EE-355Download VENEZUELA: Mass Emigration May Exacerbate Social and Economic Turmoil Summary: The mass emigration of Venezuelans amid a humanitarian crisis will likely heighten regional tensions, exacerbate the decline of Venezuela’s oil economy, and increase health concerns throughout Latin America. These consequences of mass emigration may precipitate a power vacuum in Venezuela that criminal organizations and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 355