DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Belarus Joint Military Drills on Ukraine Likely Indicates Imminent Action Summary: Following the recent announcement of military exercises conducted alongside Belarus and the slow evacuation of the Russian Embassy in Kyiv, Russian President Vladimir Putin will likely take swift action on the Ukraine conflict in the near future. Development: On 18 January, Moscow … Continue reading Eagle Eye 396
Eagle Eye 390
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Interference in Former Soviet Bloc Possibly to Gain Power and Protect Borders Summary: Following the fall of the Soviet Union, Moscow maintains influence in many regional affairs. It used its power to gain loyalty in parts of Ukraine and build strong ties with Nur-Sultan, which currently faces a critical decision regarding future relations … Continue reading Eagle Eye 390
Eagle Eye 388
DOWNLOAD INDIA: Failed Peace Talks with Beijing Will Probably Only Lead to Border Skirmishes Summary: New Delhi and Beijing’s failed attempt to reach an agreement on disengagement goals regarding the Line of Actual Control (LAC) at the recent peace talks will likely not escalate conflict levels. Development: On 10 October, New Delhi and Beijing … Continue reading Eagle Eye 388
Eagle Eye 380
DOWNLOAD RUSSIA: Suez Canal Blockage Likely to Lead to New Arctic Trade Route Benefits Summary: The recent Suez Canal blockage enabled Russia to promote its Northern Sea Route (NSR), which may lead to new diplomatic opportunities and shipping efficiency. Development: On 29 March, Russia's Energy Ministry released a statement describing the reliability, security, and competitiveness of … Continue reading Eagle Eye 380
Eagle Eye 379
DOWNLOAD SAUDI ARABIA: Riyadh Purge Likely to Solidify Future Latitude for Crown Prince Summary: The latest in a series of anti-corruption purges by Riyadh likely represents an effort by Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman (MBS) to ensure his ability to rule in whatever manner that he sees fit. This includes eliminating those that could challenge … Continue reading Eagle Eye 379
Eagle Eye 378
DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Cairo Likely Seeks Alliances to Help Deter Regional Threats Summary: Since mid-February, Cairo took actions to promote political and economic development in multiple African and Asian nations to regain regional influence, support current allies, and develop new ones. Cairo reaffirmed its alliances with Khartoum and Amman. Currently, it continues investing heavily in Kinshasa … Continue reading Eagle Eye 378
Eagle Eye 377
DOWNLOAD NORTH KOREA: Persistence of Increased Cyberattacks Likely to Fund Nuclear Program Summary: The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) sponsored and conducted a series of unprecedented cyberattacks through the efforts of various Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) groups. The DPRK-sponsored cyberattacks will almost certainly continue and will likely escalate, reinforced by the successes demonstrated in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 377
Eagle Eye 375
DOWNLOAD EGYPT: Pledge of Support to Libya Likely Indicates Future Cooperation Summary: A meeting between the Egyptian President and the Interim Libyan Prime Minister will likely lead to Egypt taking more responsibility in rebuilding Libya’s national government. Development: On 18 February, more than six years after closing its embassy in Tripoli, Egyptian President Abdel … Continue reading Eagle Eye 375
Eagle Eye 369
EE-369Download MOZAMBIQUE: Escalating Insurgency Poses Threat to Long-Term Security and Stability Summary: The Ahlu-Sunnah wa-Jama (ASWJ) will almost certainly continue to escalate its insurgency as it gains legitimacy through a nominal partnership with the Islamic State affiliates, destabilizing the northern provinces of Mozambique. Government security forces will probably maintain the current military-focused counterinsurgency strategy, which … Continue reading Eagle Eye 369
Eagle Eye 366
EE-366Download IVORY COAST: Incumbent President’s Removal Unlikely Despite Tensions Summary: Incumbent President Alassane Ouattara will likely hold a third term despite calls for his removal. Current opposition tactics will almost certainly fail due to ineffective protests, the country’s economic growth under Ouattara, and support for his presidency from military and other governmental institutions. Electoral Tensions: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 366