EE-362Download NORTHEAST AFRICA: Dam Construction May Shift Power in Nile River Basin Summary: Ethiopia may surpass Egypt as the regional hegemon upon completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Cairo and Khartoum will almost certainly continue to oppose the GERD because of water shortage anxieties and mounting fears of a rising Ethiopian power. Beijing’s … Continue reading Eagle Eye 362
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EE-359Download BELARUS: Unrest to Continue, Direct Russian Intervention Probable Summary: Tensions between protestors and law enforcement in Belarus following the recent contested presidential election will almost certainly continue to escalate, especially if Russian intervenes directly. Current Tensions: Following the 9 August presidential election, protests erupted across Belarus over concerns of fraud. After 26 years in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 359
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EE-349Download IRAN: Political Sentiment, Economic Contraction Likely to Weaken Regional Influence Summary: The Islamic Republic of Iran will likely lose aspects of its substate proxy operations despite attempts to bolster support of Kata'ib Hezbollah in Iraq and Hezbollah in Syria and Lebanon as internal political condemnation and foreign pressure restrict flexibility and capabilities. Reduction in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 349