Download CHINA: Hong Kong 47 Trial Will Most Likely Have Great Impact on Future Democracy Summary: The first round of trials for Hong Kong political activists will most likely damage the island’s democratic integrity. Development: On 6 February, the first trials began for 16 of the 47 Hong Kong political activists accused of subversion. The … Continue reading Eagle Eye 422
Eagle Eye 415
DOWNLOAD CHINA: Election Results Could Escalate Tensions in the South China Sea Summary: China’s President Xi Jinping’s third term could lead to economic coercions with territories in the South China Sea (SCS). Development: On 23 October, Xi secured a third term in office. Xi announced six loyalists to join the Politburo Standing Committee who will … Continue reading Eagle Eye 415
Eagle Eye 369
EE-369Download MOZAMBIQUE: Escalating Insurgency Poses Threat to Long-Term Security and Stability Summary: The Ahlu-Sunnah wa-Jama (ASWJ) will almost certainly continue to escalate its insurgency as it gains legitimacy through a nominal partnership with the Islamic State affiliates, destabilizing the northern provinces of Mozambique. Government security forces will probably maintain the current military-focused counterinsurgency strategy, which … Continue reading Eagle Eye 369
Eagle Eye 364
EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364
Eagle Eye 362
EE-362Download NORTHEAST AFRICA: Dam Construction May Shift Power in Nile River Basin Summary: Ethiopia may surpass Egypt as the regional hegemon upon completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Cairo and Khartoum will almost certainly continue to oppose the GERD because of water shortage anxieties and mounting fears of a rising Ethiopian power. Beijing’s … Continue reading Eagle Eye 362