Download IRAN: Jerusalem Strike on Tehran Leaders Will Likely Escalate Ongoing Proxy War Summary: Jerusalem’s most recent strike on Iranian leaders will likely lead to a heightened conflict with Tehran. Tehran has vowed to retaliate, which will likely lead to an increase in the frequency of alternating attacks. Tehran’s retaliation will likely involve the use … Continue reading Eagle Eye 453
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Download RUSSIA: Riot at Dagestan Region Airport Likely to Cause Civil Unrest Summary: Antisemitic rioters stormed an airport in the Dagestan region of Russia, likely causing civil unrest in the region and country. Development: On 29 October, antisemitic rioters stormed a Dagestan airport. Rioters ran onto the tarmac and tried to catch the Israelis on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 440
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Download TAIWAN: Chinese Refugee Case Signals Likely Continuation of Taipei’s Asylum Policy Summary: A Chinese dissident refused to return to Beijing and remains in Taiwan while seeking political asylum. The incident follows a trend of activists petitioning Taipei for refuge and will likely continue for the foreseeable future. Development: On 22 September, Chinese citizen and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 435
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Download SYRIA: Assistance from Arab League Members Could Stabilize Relations Summary: The meetings attended by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad show a likely move to strengthen ties with members of the Arab League. The assistance provided by Arab League members for earthquake relief will likely evolve into more formal economic aid in the form of loans. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 429
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Download PERU: Recall of Mexican Ambassador to Likely Further Strain Relations Summary: Peruvian President Dina Ercilia Boluarte Zegarra permanently recalled Lima’s ambassador from Mexico City following comments made by Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The comments will likely lead to tension between Lima and Mexico City. Development: On 24 February, Boluarte announced the return … Continue reading Eagle Eye 426
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Download CHINA: President's "Peace Plan” May Create a Distraction from Uyghur Crisis Summary: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s planned meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin regarding the Ukraine conflict may act as a media stunt to distract from the ongoing human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims in China. Development: On 17 February, Beijing publicly called for … Continue reading Eagle Eye 425
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Download ISRAEL: Oil Ship Attacked by Iran Likely Signals Escalation Against Regional Shipping Summary: The oil tanker Campo Square received an attack from drones launched by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Tehran is likely to increase its attacks on shipping lanes across the Arabian Sea and the Persian Gulf. Development: On 17 February, reports went … Continue reading Eagle Eye 424
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Download CUBA: Presidential Trip to Mexico Likely to Cause Political Alignment Summary: Meetings between Cuban and Mexican presidents will likely strengthen Cuban resistance against outside influences and create a hostile outlook toward democratic countries. Development: On 11 February, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel arrived in Mexico to meet with his counterpart, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López … Continue reading Eagle Eye 423
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Trade Disputes May Force Canberra into Negotiations Summary: Canberra’s reliance on Beijing’s economic relationship might influence Canberra to negotiate in Beijing’s favor. Development: On 14 October, China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Chan, requested Canberra for quiet diplomacy to mend Canberra’s conflicts with Beijing, according to SBSNews. Beijing’s current trade sanctions on Australian exports, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 414
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EE-369Download MOZAMBIQUE: Escalating Insurgency Poses Threat to Long-Term Security and Stability Summary: The Ahlu-Sunnah wa-Jama (ASWJ) will almost certainly continue to escalate its insurgency as it gains legitimacy through a nominal partnership with the Islamic State affiliates, destabilizing the northern provinces of Mozambique. Government security forces will probably maintain the current military-focused counterinsurgency strategy, which … Continue reading Eagle Eye 369