DOWNLOAD JAKARTA: Reliance on Chinese Investment May Increase Under New Leadership Summary: Jakarta’s new administration may rely on Chinese investment more to pursue its goal of 8% economic growth. Beijing’s monopolization of nickel in Indonesia may prove problematic for Washington in the future. Development: On 20 October, Prabowo Subianto swore in as the eighth president … Continue reading Eagle Eye 459
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Download RUSSIA: North Korean Missiles Likely Intended to Overwhelm Ukrainian Missile Defense Summary: Moscow likely intends to use short-range ballistic missiles imported from Pyongyang to increase the number of successful strikes against Kyiv’s civilian population centers by launching multiple missiles at once. Development: On 10 January, members from the Conflict Armament Research Organization found the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 443
Best Briefs Fall 2023
Download Special thanks to Professors Dale Avery and Alan Saquella for their participation in voting. Best Brief Fall 2023 Winner: MEXICO: Gang Ambushes Will Likely Continue to Disrupt the Lives of Citizens Summary: Local gangs in Sonora ambushed citizens, military professionals, and police officers two days in a row. These attacks disrupted schools and the … Continue reading Best Briefs Fall 2023
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Download UNITED KINGDOM: Southern Cartel Likely Owns Seized Drugs Summary: Authorities found cocaine worth approximately $12 million on a ship at Sheerness Port. A South American cartel likely owns the drugs on the boat en route to the Netherlands. Development: On 28 October, the National Crime Agency discovered approximately 300 pounds of cocaine at Sheerness … Continue reading Eagle Eye 439
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Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438
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Download ISRAEL: Airstrikes on Aleppo Airport Likely Targeted at Tehran’s Operations Summary: Jerusalem conducted an airstrike on Aleppo International Airport, resulting in a shutdown and five injuries. The attack will probably hinder Iranian operations and warn Iran of consequences if support for Syria continues. Development: On 14 October, Jerusalem launched an airstrike that hit and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 437
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Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
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Download SYRIA: Assistance from Arab League Members Could Stabilize Relations Summary: The meetings attended by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad show a likely move to strengthen ties with members of the Arab League. The assistance provided by Arab League members for earthquake relief will likely evolve into more formal economic aid in the form of loans. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 429
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Download CHAD: Nationalized Energy Assets Will Likely Assure Favorable Export Control Summary: N’Djamena nationalized private oil assets, which will likely grant it more control over which countries receive it. Development: On 23 March, N’Djamena nationalized all assets, permits, and authorizations belonging to an Exxon Mobil subsidiary, according to Reuters. The assets include a 40-percent stake … Continue reading Eagle Eye 428
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Download RUSSIA: Enforced Symbiotic Relationship Will Likely Protect Against Global Retribution Summary: Informal meetings between Moscow and Beijing deepened country relations, likely sending a message to other countries of increased support in response to war crime accusations. Development: On 20 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin played host to Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Kremlin. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 427