DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Child Labor Likely to Receive Backlash from United Nations Summary: A recent study found that close to one million children may be working in Afghanistan to support their families. This likely will prompt backlash from the United Nations (UN), which remains in the process of sending humanitarian aid to the country. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 399
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DOWNLOAD TAIWAN: Upgraded Fighter Jets Will Probably Not Deter Airspace Incursions Summary: Taipei’s newly renovated F-16V (Viper) fighter jets probably result in minimal advancements to Taipei’s air defense capabilities and will likely not repel Beijing’s incursions into the Taiwanese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). Development: On 18 November, Taipei unveiled its newly renovated F-16 Viper … Continue reading Eagle Eye 394
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DOWNLOAD CANADA: Snap Elections Likely Detrimental to Reputation of Administration Summary: Despite Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s projected retention of power, the inability of his party to gain a parliamentary majority and the unpopularity of the snap elections will almost certainly prove detrimental to the remainder of his time in office. Development: On 21 September, preliminary … Continue reading Eagle Eye 385
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DOWNLOAD CHINA: Vaccine Efficacy Results May Disrupt Distribution Plans Summary: Beijing admitted to low efficacy rates for its current COVID-19 vaccines, which will likely set back its distribution plans. Nations that accepted vaccine shipments from China may also need to change course. Development: On 10 April, Director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 381
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EE-369Download MOZAMBIQUE: Escalating Insurgency Poses Threat to Long-Term Security and Stability Summary: The Ahlu-Sunnah wa-Jama (ASWJ) will almost certainly continue to escalate its insurgency as it gains legitimacy through a nominal partnership with the Islamic State affiliates, destabilizing the northern provinces of Mozambique. Government security forces will probably maintain the current military-focused counterinsurgency strategy, which … Continue reading Eagle Eye 369
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EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364
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EE-363-1Download TAIWAN: Chinese Militarization Will Almost Certainly Raise Tensions, Prompt Conflict Summary: Due to its militarization, a growing independence movement, and likely increase in support from regional allies, China will probably view Taiwan as a growing issue and take diplomatic or military action to quell dissent. Longstanding Tensions: Beijing strongly maintains the “One China Principle,” … Continue reading Eagle Eye 363
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EE-362Download NORTHEAST AFRICA: Dam Construction May Shift Power in Nile River Basin Summary: Ethiopia may surpass Egypt as the regional hegemon upon completion of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). Cairo and Khartoum will almost certainly continue to oppose the GERD because of water shortage anxieties and mounting fears of a rising Ethiopian power. Beijing’s … Continue reading Eagle Eye 362
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EE-358Download ARMENIA-AZERBAIJAN: Border Clashes May Add to Economic Strife, Ethnic Tensions Summary: Ankara and European governments will probably cultivate influence in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict as it endangers the South Caucasus Pipeline System. Continued violence along the Line of Contact (LOC) in the Nagorno-Karabakh region will probably stir ethnic tensions in Armenia and Azerbaijan. The conflict … Continue reading Eagle Eye 358