Eagle Eye 403

DOWNLOAD KAZAKHSTAN: Anti-Russian Sanctions Likely to Impact Kazakh Economy Summary: Nur-Sultan implemented new measures to maintain economic control amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict and anti-Russian sanctions. This could lead to new trade alliances, which will likely help push economic development in the region. Development: On 2 March, Kazakh Prime Minister Alikhan Smailov signed a decree creating an … Continue reading Eagle Eye 403

Eagle Eye 401

DOWNLOAD RUSSIA-UKRAINE: Minsk Agreements May Influence Negotiations with Turkey Likely to Act as Mediator Summary: The Russian war with Ukraine could lead to Ankara mediating the conflict due to pressure from NATO. Former Minsk Agreements will likely act as a reference in creating a new agreement between Moscow and Kyiv. Background: Tensions between Kyiv and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 401

Eagle Eye 400

DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: Tension Likely to Increase Amid Fears of Terrorist Groups Summary: Pakistani Ambassador Mansoor Ahmad Khan has expressed concerns over growing foreign terrorist groups in Afghanistan. The growth of such groups will likely create unstable relations between Kabul and Islamabad. Development: On 21 February, Khan voiced his concerns regarding growing terrorist groups and tensions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 400

Eagle Eye 394

DOWNLOAD TAIWAN: Upgraded Fighter Jets Will Probably Not Deter Airspace Incursions Summary: Taipei’s newly renovated F-16V (Viper) fighter jets probably result in minimal advancements to Taipei’s air defense capabilities and will likely not repel Beijing’s incursions into the Taiwanese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). Development: On 18 November, Taipei unveiled its newly renovated F-16 Viper … Continue reading Eagle Eye 394

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DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389

Eagle Eye 363

EE-363-1Download TAIWAN: Chinese Militarization Will Almost Certainly Raise Tensions, Prompt Conflict Summary: Due to its militarization, a growing independence movement, and likely increase in support from regional allies, China will probably view Taiwan as a growing issue and take diplomatic or military action to quell dissent.  Longstanding Tensions: Beijing strongly maintains the “One China Principle,” … Continue reading Eagle Eye 363

Eagle Eye 357

EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357