DOWNLOAD KAZAKHSTAN: Anti-Russian Sanctions Likely to Impact Kazakh Economy Summary: Nur-Sultan implemented new measures to maintain economic control amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict and anti-Russian sanctions. This could lead to new trade alliances, which will likely help push economic development in the region. Development: On 2 March, Kazakh Prime Minister Alikhan Smailov signed a decree creating an … Continue reading Eagle Eye 403
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DOWNLOAD RUSSIA-UKRAINE: Minsk Agreements May Influence Negotiations with Turkey Likely to Act as Mediator Summary: The Russian war with Ukraine could lead to Ankara mediating the conflict due to pressure from NATO. Former Minsk Agreements will likely act as a reference in creating a new agreement between Moscow and Kyiv. Background: Tensions between Kyiv and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 401
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN: Tension Likely to Increase Amid Fears of Terrorist Groups Summary: Pakistani Ambassador Mansoor Ahmad Khan has expressed concerns over growing foreign terrorist groups in Afghanistan. The growth of such groups will likely create unstable relations between Kabul and Islamabad. Development: On 21 February, Khan voiced his concerns regarding growing terrorist groups and tensions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 400
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DOWNLOAD AFGHANISTAN: Increasing Child Labor Likely to Receive Backlash from United Nations Summary: A recent study found that close to one million children may be working in Afghanistan to support their families. This likely will prompt backlash from the United Nations (UN), which remains in the process of sending humanitarian aid to the country. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 399
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DOWNLOAD TAIWAN: Upgraded Fighter Jets Will Probably Not Deter Airspace Incursions Summary: Taipei’s newly renovated F-16V (Viper) fighter jets probably result in minimal advancements to Taipei’s air defense capabilities and will likely not repel Beijing’s incursions into the Taiwanese Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ). Development: On 18 November, Taipei unveiled its newly renovated F-16 Viper … Continue reading Eagle Eye 394
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DOWNLOAD LEBANON: Compounding Crises Likely an Opportunity for Foreign Influence Summary: Lebanon remains locked in one of the worst economic crises in history as the country grapples with a severe fuel crisis, widespread mistrust of the government, and crippling healthcare and food shortages. The dire state of the economy will likely open doors for foreign … Continue reading Eagle Eye 389
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EE-363-1Download TAIWAN: Chinese Militarization Will Almost Certainly Raise Tensions, Prompt Conflict Summary: Due to its militarization, a growing independence movement, and likely increase in support from regional allies, China will probably view Taiwan as a growing issue and take diplomatic or military action to quell dissent. Longstanding Tensions: Beijing strongly maintains the “One China Principle,” … Continue reading Eagle Eye 363
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EE-357Download POLAND: Suspension of Disciplinary Chamber Likely to Increase Tensions Summary: The suspension of the disciplinary chamber designed to monitor Poland’s judicial system by the European Union (EU) will likely increase tensions, despite the low probability of strong action. Development: On 8 April, the European Commission ruled to suspend Poland’s disciplinary chamber, originally intended to … Continue reading Eagle Eye 357