Download GEORGIA: New Prime Minister Unlikely to Significantly Alter Foreign Relations Summary: Despite statements by new Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, Tbilisi will probably not take definitive steps towards European Union (EU) membership or significantly alter its relations with Russia. Development: On 8 February, Tbilisi officially appointed Irakli Kobakhidze, former chairman of the ruling Georgian Dream … Continue reading Eagle Eye 446
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Download UNITED KINGDOM: Southern Cartel Likely Owns Seized Drugs Summary: Authorities found cocaine worth approximately $12 million on a ship at Sheerness Port. A South American cartel likely owns the drugs on the boat en route to the Netherlands. Development: On 28 October, the National Crime Agency discovered approximately 300 pounds of cocaine at Sheerness … Continue reading Eagle Eye 439
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Download NORTH KOREA: New Nuclear Submarine Unlikely to Boost Nuclear Deterrence Abilities Summary: Supreme Leader Kim Jong-Un announced the launching of a new tactical nuclear submarine unlikely to boost Pyongyang’s nuclear deterrence capabilities. Development: On 8 September, Pyongyang unveiled an enhanced tactical nuclear Romeo-class submarine. The newly modified submarine can carry up to 10 ballistic … Continue reading Eagle Eye 432
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DOWNLOAD SUDAN: Tensions with Ethiopia Likely to Escalate over Grand Renaissance Dam Summary: Tensions between Sudan and Ethiopia will likely increase as talks regarding the Ethiopian Grand Renaissance Dam (GRD) break down. Development: On 6 February, Sudan’s Irrigation Minister Yasser Abbas warned Addis Ababa that any step to fill the GRD, located on the Blue … Continue reading EE 372
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EE-365Download KYRGYZSTAN: Reform and Change Unlikely Amid Rising Authoritarianism Summary: Ethnic tensions, democratic shortcomings, and corruption will probably facilitate a strong authoritarian government. This government will almost certainly seek to quell ethnic tensions, impede democratic reforms, and continue corrupt practices to maintain the status quo during times of political unrest. Kyrgyz Turmoil: The former soviet … Continue reading Eagle Eye 365
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EE-364Download MEXICO: Uncertain Future of Sonora Project Likely to Exacerbate Lithium Shortage Summary: Cartel activity and possible nationalization of lithium mining could threaten the output of the Sonora Project mine. Such a reduction could create larger supply shortages in a strained lithium market. However, companies interested in protecting the lithium supply chain might provide security … Continue reading Eagle Eye 364
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EE-352Download MALI: Ethnic Tensions and Cross-border Violence Likely to Increase Conflict Summary: Heightened ethnic tensions, issues maintaining international military support, and porous borders with the neighboring Sahel and North African countries will likely exacerbate the conflict between the Malian government and various jihadist groups in the North. Stalemate in Mali: Jihadist groups hold large amounts … Continue reading Eagle Eye 352
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EE-351Download UNITED KINGDOM: Uncertainty Following Brexit Likely to Continue Summary: Following the United Kingdom’s (UK) official departure from the European Union (EU), the UK will likely enter a period of political and economic uncertainty. The tensions created as a result of Brexit proceedings will likely increase, showing through potential issues in domestic policy and the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 351
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EE-349Download IRAN: Political Sentiment, Economic Contraction Likely to Weaken Regional Influence Summary: The Islamic Republic of Iran will likely lose aspects of its substate proxy operations despite attempts to bolster support of Kata'ib Hezbollah in Iraq and Hezbollah in Syria and Lebanon as internal political condemnation and foreign pressure restrict flexibility and capabilities. Reduction in … Continue reading Eagle Eye 349