Download SYRIA: Escape of Islamic State Fighters Unlikely to Alter Ceasefire and Integration Summary: The Kurdish Coalition known as the Syrian Democratic Force (SDF) is likely responsible for the release of Islamic State (IS) fighters from several Syrian detention facilities on 19 January. The prisoners’ escape is unlikely to affect the current ceasefire agreement. Development: … Continue reading Eagle Eye 486
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Download PERU: Recall of Mexican Ambassador to Likely Further Strain Relations Summary: Peruvian President Dina Ercilia Boluarte Zegarra permanently recalled Lima’s ambassador from Mexico City following comments made by Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The comments will likely lead to tension between Lima and Mexico City. Development: On 24 February, Boluarte announced the return … Continue reading Eagle Eye 426
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EE-356Download AFRICA: COVID-19 Will Almost Certainly Impair Security and Undermine Governance Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic will almost certainly escalate rapidly in Africa, further deteriorating human security, endangering governmental stability, aggravating territorial conflicts, and enabling Chinese expansionism throughout the continent. Spreading Epidemic: By 2 April, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) reported 6,234 … Continue reading Eagle Eye 356
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EE-355Download VENEZUELA: Mass Emigration May Exacerbate Social and Economic Turmoil Summary: The mass emigration of Venezuelans amid a humanitarian crisis will likely heighten regional tensions, exacerbate the decline of Venezuela’s oil economy, and increase health concerns throughout Latin America. These consequences of mass emigration may precipitate a power vacuum in Venezuela that criminal organizations and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 355