EE-345Download NORTH KOREA: Break Down in Denuclearization Talks Weaken Regional Stability Summary: Pyongyang’s dissatisfaction with the current state of nuclear negotiations with Washington strongly indicates its renewed resolve to continue both missile and new experimental weapon tests, defying existing UN sanctions. The breakdown in negotiations and North Korea’s current disregard for sanctions will likely promote … Continue reading Eagle Eye 345
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EE-344Download EGYPT: Ongoing Protests Indicate Growing Resentment of Sisi Summary: Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi is facing protests and dissent after a video surfaced describing his rampant corruption and nepotism in addition to poor economic and societal conditions in Egypt. Sisi quickly made moves to clamp down the protesters, but these protests likely indicate further resistance … Continue reading Eagle Eye 344
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EE-343Download GREAT BRITAIN: Additional Brexit Delay Indicates Government Stalemate Summary: Great Britain will not exit the EU on 31 October and will instead work towards a 31 January 2020 Brexit date. The delay likely resulted primarily from a lack of strong central leadership, incentives for the EU to continue to delay Brexit, and an inability … Continue reading Eagle Eye 343
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EE-342Download CANADA: Liberal Party Loses Seats, but Maintains Control of Minority Government Summary: Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party maintained a plurality in Parliament despite losing several seats across the country. The decline in support for Trudeau’s party despite relative success on policy indicates an effective campaign from the Conservative Party to characterize him … Continue reading Eagle Eye 342
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CHINA: Investment in Africa Furthers Beijing’s Influence and Freedom of Action EE 341Download Summary: China’s significant investment in infrastructure and mining projects in Africa strongly indicates Beijing’s attempt to leverage the continent’s resources and emerging economies for regional influence. China’s presence will likely give additional strategic options over other actors near the Middle East and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 341
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EE-340Download IRAN: Development of Sub-state Proxies Will Likely Continue Amid Heightened Tensions Summary: The Islamic Republic of Iran will likely reinforce support of non-state allies in Lebanon, Iraq, Gaza, and Yemen to sustain extra-national influence as it vies for regional hegemony. Direct conflict between Tehran and its enemies remains unlikely given the expected severe consequences, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 340
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EE-339Download CHINA: Beijing’s Military Modernization Efforts in the Pacific Threaten US Logistics Summary: China’s recent military development in aircraft, ballistic missile capabilities and building military initiations in the South China Sea (SCS) provide Beijing with an extended range to project power, threatening US logistic capability in the Pacific. This threat will likely cause other nations … Continue reading Eagle Eye 339
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EE-338Download RUSSIA: Support for Europe’s Far Right Show Deep Ideological Influence Mission Summary: Russia’s support and heavy investments to influence European far-right groups illustrates a repeating pattern that Moscow employs on nationalist parties in France, Germany, Great Britain, and Italy. Through cultivating alliances with these parties, Russia can further its strategic goals of balancing power … Continue reading Eagle Eye 338
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EE 337Download CHINA: Xi Chooses Inaction on Hong Kong amid Internal and External Constraints Summary: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s reluctance to intervene in the protests in Hong Kong likely stems from fear of global political and economic repercussions. At the same time, Xi’s nationalist base is pushing him to take a hardline approach. On balance, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 337
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EE-336Download YEMEN: Saudi-UAE Coalition Divide Indicate a Sustained Conflict Summary: The civil war in Yemen will likely endure despite the Saudi-UAE coalition’s support of President Hadi’s government. The continued conflict will strain global humanitarian aid efforts, depress Saudi Arabia’s image as a regional power, and reinforce the UAE’s authority over maritime commerce in the Arabian … Continue reading Eagle Eye 336