Download GEORGIA: New Prime Minister Unlikely to Significantly Alter Foreign Relations Summary: Despite statements by new Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, Tbilisi will probably not take definitive steps towards European Union (EU) membership or significantly alter its relations with Russia. Development: On 8 February, Tbilisi officially appointed Irakli Kobakhidze, former chairman of the ruling Georgian Dream … Continue reading Eagle Eye 446
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Eagle Eye 445
Download RUSSIA: Eurasian Economic Union Meeting Likely to Improve Energy Exports Summary: The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) meeting will likely lead to increased economic cooperation within the EEU, decreasing the effectiveness of sanctions on Russia. Armenia will likely have less participation in this growth due to tensions between Moscow and Yerevan. Development: On 2 February, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 445
Eagle Eye 444
Download MALI: Broken Peace Deal Will Likely Augment Internal Security Strategy Summary: The dissolution of a peace deal will likely enhance Bamako’s capabilities and influence against internal rebel groups. Development: On 25 January, Bamako spokesperson Colonel Abdoulaye Maiga announced the termination of the 2015 peace deal with Tuareg rebel groups. Bamako based this decision on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 444
Eagle Eye 443
Download RUSSIA: North Korean Missiles Likely Intended to Overwhelm Ukrainian Missile Defense Summary: Moscow likely intends to use short-range ballistic missiles imported from Pyongyang to increase the number of successful strikes against Kyiv’s civilian population centers by launching multiple missiles at once. Development: On 10 January, members from the Conflict Armament Research Organization found the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 443
Best Briefs Fall 2023
Download Special thanks to Professors Dale Avery and Alan Saquella for their participation in voting. Best Brief Fall 2023 Winner: MEXICO: Gang Ambushes Will Likely Continue to Disrupt the Lives of Citizens Summary: Local gangs in Sonora ambushed citizens, military professionals, and police officers two days in a row. These attacks disrupted schools and the … Continue reading Best Briefs Fall 2023
Eagle Eye 442
Download ISRAEL-IRAN: Tehran Will Likely Resume Using Hamas as Proxy Toward Jerusalem Summary: Tehran will likely continue using proxies for its dirty work to avoid the consequences of its actions. A recent ceasefire in the war likely resulted from background actors trying to plan for short- and long-term intentions. Background: On 7 October, Iran-backed Hamas … Continue reading Eagle Eye 442
Eagle Eye 441
Dowload RUSSIA: Negligent Drone Usage Likely to Continue Infringing Upon Romania Summary: Russia will most likely continue to intrude upon Romania and keep hold of the Black Sea through persistent drone attacks in Ukraine. These attacks continue to spill over into Romania, and Moscow will likely continue to do so as Bucharest refuses to retaliate. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 441
Eagle Eye 440
Download RUSSIA: Riot at Dagestan Region Airport Likely to Cause Civil Unrest Summary: Antisemitic rioters stormed an airport in the Dagestan region of Russia, likely causing civil unrest in the region and country. Development: On 29 October, antisemitic rioters stormed a Dagestan airport. Rioters ran onto the tarmac and tried to catch the Israelis on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 440
Eagle Eye 439
Download UNITED KINGDOM: Southern Cartel Likely Owns Seized Drugs Summary: Authorities found cocaine worth approximately $12 million on a ship at Sheerness Port. A South American cartel likely owns the drugs on the boat en route to the Netherlands. Development: On 28 October, the National Crime Agency discovered approximately 300 pounds of cocaine at Sheerness … Continue reading Eagle Eye 439
Eagle Eye 438
Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438