Dowload RUSSIA: Negligent Drone Usage Likely to Continue Infringing Upon Romania Summary: Russia will most likely continue to intrude upon Romania and keep hold of the Black Sea through persistent drone attacks in Ukraine. These attacks continue to spill over into Romania, and Moscow will likely continue to do so as Bucharest refuses to retaliate. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 441
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Download RUSSIA: Riot at Dagestan Region Airport Likely to Cause Civil Unrest Summary: Antisemitic rioters stormed an airport in the Dagestan region of Russia, likely causing civil unrest in the region and country. Development: On 29 October, antisemitic rioters stormed a Dagestan airport. Rioters ran onto the tarmac and tried to catch the Israelis on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 440
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Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438
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Download ISRAEL: Airstrikes on Aleppo Airport Likely Targeted at Tehran’s Operations Summary: Jerusalem conducted an airstrike on Aleppo International Airport, resulting in a shutdown and five injuries. The attack will probably hinder Iranian operations and warn Iran of consequences if support for Syria continues. Development: On 14 October, Jerusalem launched an airstrike that hit and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 437
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Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation. Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436
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Download TAIWAN: Chinese Refugee Case Signals Likely Continuation of Taipei’s Asylum Policy Summary: A Chinese dissident refused to return to Beijing and remains in Taiwan while seeking political asylum. The incident follows a trend of activists petitioning Taipei for refuge and will likely continue for the foreseeable future. Development: On 22 September, Chinese citizen and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 435
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Download RUSSIA: Summit with North Korea Will Likely Lead to Arms Deal Summary: The meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un will likely lead to an arms deal. The arms deal will most likely increase Pyongyang’s reconnaissance and missile capabilities while providing Moscow with munitions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 434
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Download CHINA: Relations with Vietnam Likely to Decrease Summary: Beijing’s reaction to recent developments between Hanoi and Washington likely means that Beijing's relationship with Hanoi will deteriorate. Development: On 10 September, Beijing reacted to renewed dialogue between Washington and Hanoi. Beijing does not favor the newly found relationship as it believes it could lose business … Continue reading Eagle Eye 433
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Download CHAD: Nationalized Energy Assets Will Likely Assure Favorable Export Control Summary: N’Djamena nationalized private oil assets, which will likely grant it more control over which countries receive it. Development: On 23 March, N’Djamena nationalized all assets, permits, and authorizations belonging to an Exxon Mobil subsidiary, according to Reuters. The assets include a 40-percent stake … Continue reading Eagle Eye 428
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Download RUSSIA: Enforced Symbiotic Relationship Will Likely Protect Against Global Retribution Summary: Informal meetings between Moscow and Beijing deepened country relations, likely sending a message to other countries of increased support in response to war crime accusations. Development: On 20 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin played host to Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Kremlin. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 427