Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 446

Download GEORGIA: New Prime Minister Unlikely to Significantly Alter Foreign Relations Summary: Despite statements by new Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze, Tbilisi will probably not take definitive steps towards European Union (EU) membership or significantly alter its relations with Russia. Development: On 8 February, Tbilisi officially appointed Irakli Kobakhidze, former chairman of the ruling Georgian Dream … Continue reading Eagle Eye 446

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 445

Download RUSSIA: Eurasian Economic Union Meeting Likely to Improve Energy Exports Summary: The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) meeting will likely lead to increased economic cooperation within the EEU, decreasing the effectiveness of sanctions on Russia. Armenia will likely have less participation in this growth due to tensions between Moscow and Yerevan. Development: On 2 February, … Continue reading Eagle Eye 445

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 444

Download MALI: Broken Peace Deal Will Likely Augment Internal Security Strategy Summary: The dissolution of a peace deal will likely enhance Bamako’s capabilities and influence against internal rebel groups. Development: On 25 January, Bamako spokesperson Colonel Abdoulaye Maiga announced the termination of the 2015 peace deal with Tuareg rebel groups. Bamako based this decision on … Continue reading Eagle Eye 444

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 443

Download RUSSIA: North Korean Missiles Likely Intended to Overwhelm Ukrainian Missile Defense Summary: Moscow likely intends to use short-range ballistic missiles imported from Pyongyang to increase the number of successful strikes against Kyiv’s civilian population centers by launching multiple missiles at once. Development: On 10 January, members from the Conflict Armament Research Organization found the … Continue reading Eagle Eye 443

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 442

Download ISRAEL-IRAN: Tehran Will Likely Resume Using Hamas as Proxy Toward Jerusalem Summary: Tehran will likely continue using proxies for its dirty work to avoid the consequences of its actions. A recent ceasefire in the war likely resulted from background actors trying to plan for short- and long-term intentions. Background: On 7 October, Iran-backed Hamas … Continue reading Eagle Eye 442

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 438

Download RUSSIA: Cyberattacks Likely to Cease Against the International Criminal Court Summary: Hackers will likely cease attacks against the International Criminal Court (ICC) since Moscow most likely obtained all information needed and will instead use insiders to help carry out further attacks. Development: On 20 October, the ICC claimed the previous Russian cyberattack it endured … Continue reading Eagle Eye 438

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 437

Download ISRAEL: Airstrikes on Aleppo Airport Likely Targeted at Tehran’s Operations Summary: Jerusalem conducted an airstrike on Aleppo International Airport, resulting in a shutdown and five injuries. The attack will probably hinder Iranian operations and warn Iran of consequences if support for Syria continues. Development: On 14 October, Jerusalem launched an airstrike that hit and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 437

Eagle Eye Editors

Eagle Eye 436

Download RUSSIA: Selection of Wagner PMC Leader Will Likely Give Moscow Control of Activities Summary: Moscow’s public announcement of a new leader for Wagner PMC will likely turn the private military contractor’s main attention to the Ukraine conflict. Wagner PMC operations in Africa will likely continue despite the reorientation.  Development: On 29 September, President Vladimir … Continue reading Eagle Eye 436