Download TAIWAN: Chinese Refugee Case Signals Likely Continuation of Taipei’s Asylum Policy Summary: A Chinese dissident refused to return to Beijing and remains in Taiwan while seeking political asylum. The incident follows a trend of activists petitioning Taipei for refuge and will likely continue for the foreseeable future. Development: On 22 September, Chinese citizen and … Continue reading Eagle Eye 435
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Download RUSSIA: Summit with North Korea Will Likely Lead to Arms Deal Summary: The meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Democratic People’s Republic of Korea Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un will likely lead to an arms deal. The arms deal will most likely increase Pyongyang’s reconnaissance and missile capabilities while providing Moscow with munitions … Continue reading Eagle Eye 434
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Download CHINA: Relations with Vietnam Likely to Decrease Summary: Beijing’s reaction to recent developments between Hanoi and Washington likely means that Beijing's relationship with Hanoi will deteriorate. Development: On 10 September, Beijing reacted to renewed dialogue between Washington and Hanoi. Beijing does not favor the newly found relationship as it believes it could lose business … Continue reading Eagle Eye 433
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Download CHAD: Nationalized Energy Assets Will Likely Assure Favorable Export Control Summary: N’Djamena nationalized private oil assets, which will likely grant it more control over which countries receive it. Development: On 23 March, N’Djamena nationalized all assets, permits, and authorizations belonging to an Exxon Mobil subsidiary, according to Reuters. The assets include a 40-percent stake … Continue reading Eagle Eye 428
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Download RUSSIA: Enforced Symbiotic Relationship Will Likely Protect Against Global Retribution Summary: Informal meetings between Moscow and Beijing deepened country relations, likely sending a message to other countries of increased support in response to war crime accusations. Development: On 20 March, Russian President Vladimir Putin played host to Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Kremlin. … Continue reading Eagle Eye 427
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Download PERU: Recall of Mexican Ambassador to Likely Further Strain Relations Summary: Peruvian President Dina Ercilia Boluarte Zegarra permanently recalled Lima’s ambassador from Mexico City following comments made by Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The comments will likely lead to tension between Lima and Mexico City. Development: On 24 February, Boluarte announced the return … Continue reading Eagle Eye 426
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Download CHINA: President's "Peace Plan” May Create a Distraction from Uyghur Crisis Summary: Chinese President Xi Jinping’s planned meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin regarding the Ukraine conflict may act as a media stunt to distract from the ongoing human rights violations against Uyghur Muslims in China. Development: On 17 February, Beijing publicly called for … Continue reading Eagle Eye 425
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Download ISRAEL: Oil Ship Attacked by Iran Likely Signals Escalation Against Regional Shipping Summary: The oil tanker Campo Square received an attack from drones launched by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps. Tehran is likely to increase its attacks on shipping lanes across the Arabian Sea and the Persian Gulf. Development: On 17 February, reports went … Continue reading Eagle Eye 424
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Download CUBA: Presidential Trip to Mexico Likely to Cause Political Alignment Summary: Meetings between Cuban and Mexican presidents will likely strengthen Cuban resistance against outside influences and create a hostile outlook toward democratic countries. Development: On 11 February, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel arrived in Mexico to meet with his counterpart, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López … Continue reading Eagle Eye 423
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Download UKRAINE: Foreign Assistance Likely to Limit Effectiveness of Russian Cyberattacks Summary: Moscow persists in its cyber campaign on Kyiv as attacks launched by hacker groups aim to cripple critical infrastructure and government networks. Kyiv’s response, bolstered by foreign assistance, will likely limit the overall effectiveness of the campaign. Kyiv will likely continue to request … Continue reading Eagle Eye 419
